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SUMMARY
Fiber lasers revenues are set to grow to $256 million by 2008 and are likely
to have a significant impact on the penetration of high power lasers into the
manufacturing environment on the basis of their superior price / performance
(beam quality, efficiency and footprint). This is likely to accelerate the
adoption of laser processing in volume manufacturing where lasers are only
just starting to offer fully integrated solutions (robotic integration and
fiber delivery) that will in turn enable new designs and manufacturing
techniques.
The immediate opportunity for fiber lasers is as a replacement for Nd:YAG and
to a lesser extent CO2 lasers at lower power levels(<100W), for
predominately marking, in addition to some limited number of high power units
(~1kW) for welding and cutting. However, over the next 2-5 years the technical
superiority of fiber lasers will permit them to carve out an expanding
percentage of the Nd:YAG and CO2 markets accounting for up to 20% of the
welding and cutting markets, by value, by 2008. Some of the areas that can be
identified as potential growth areas include:
- Automotive
- Non-specialist 3-D milling market currently dominated by CNC machines
- Heating Ventilation and Air Conditioning (HVAC) market
- Pipe fabrication
- Large metallic structures (doors, tanks)
The report splits the addressable market for fiber lasers into seven major
categories:
Cutting -- both metal and non-metal cutting will benefit from the
introduction of fiber lasers where superior beam quality will bring reduced
cutting thresholds, smaller feature size and the potential to address the high
end hard tooling market.
Welding -- the higher efficiency of fiber lasers (~30%) compared to
other laser systems makes it a very attractive option when dealing with large
deployments. This is particularly true for the automotive industry where
lasers are being used for body part and component welding, offering a
potential revenue upside for fiber lasers of $400-$800 million/yr from 2006
onwards.
Marking - fiber lasers offer higher efficiencies, smaller spot sizes
and smaller footprints than existing YAG and CO2 laser systems.
Aerospace and Military -- will provide R&D funding for basic technology
development for weapons based systems.
Drilling -- limited opportunity in some of the specialist markets.
Printing -- will struggle against dominant diode systems.
Other -- multiple small applications (soldering, paper drilling,
stereolithography, cladding, via hole drilling) will experience organic growth
as fiber lasers enter mainstream manufacturing.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- 1.0Introduction
- 1.1Scope and Methodology
- 1.2Information Sources
- 1.3Overview of the market opportunity for Fiber Lasers
- 1.4Fiber Laser Pricing
- 1.5Fiber Laser Manufacturing Cost
- 2.0Technical Overview
- 3.0Critical Technologies
- 3.1Fiber
- 3.1.1Fiber Power Limitations
- 3.1.2Fiber Lifetime
- 3.1.3Projected Fiber Laser Performance through 2008
- 3.2Laser Designs
- 3.2.1Continuous Wave (CW)/Long Pulse (~1 mS)
- 3.2.2Pulsed (10-100ns) -- Master Oscillator Power Amplifier (MOPA)
- 4.0High Power Diode Lasers
- 4.1Overview
- 4.2Diode Pricing
- 4.3Future Performance
- 4.4Potential Direct Diode Application
- 5.0Pump Light Coupling
- 6.0Fiber Laser Arrays
- 7.0Alternative Technologies
- 7.1Lamp pumped Nd:YAG Lasers
- 7.2Rod Based - Diode Pumped Solid State (DPSS) Nd:YAG Lasers
- 7.3Slab Based- Diode Pumped Solid State (DPSS) Nd:YAG Lasers
- 7.4Disk Lasers
- 7.5CO2 Lasers
- 8.0Applications/Markets
- 8.1Market Overview
- 8.2Cutting
- 8.3Welding
- 8.4Marking
- 8.5Printing
- 8.6Aerospace/Military
- 8.7Drilling
- 8.8Other
- 8.9Summary
- 9.0Next Generation of Fiber
- 9.1Leaky Fibers
- 9.2Holey Fibers
- 9.3Multiclad Fibers
- 9.4Other Wavelengths -- Harmonics
- 10.0Regional Economic Factors
- 10.1US
- 10.2Japan
- 10.3Europe
- 10.4China
- 10.5Rest of Asia (Korea, Taiwan)
- 11.0High Power Fiber laser Manufacturers
- 11.1IPG
- 11.2SPI
- 11.3JDSU
- 11.4Nufern
- 11.5Coherent
- 11.6Spectra Physics (Newport Inc.)
- 11.7Hamamatsu
- 11.8Keopsys
- 11.9Aculight
- 11.10QPHOTONICS
- 12.0DCF Fiber Manufacturers
- 12.1IPG
- 12.2SPI
- 12.3Nufern
- 12.4Corning
- 12.5OFS (Fitel)
- 12.6Crystal Fibre A/S
- 12.7Leikki
- 13.0Major High Power Industrial Laser Suppliers
- 13.1Nd:YAG Laser Suppliers
- 13.2CO2 Laser Suppliers
- 13.3Diode Pumped Laser Suppliers
- 13.4Direct Diode
- 13.5Diode Suppliers
- 13.6Laser System Integrators (Beam delivery/parts handling)
- 14.0Summary
- 15.0Charts -- model results
- 16.0Appendix
- A.Overview of the Computer to Plate Printing Market
- B.Glossary
- C.Wavelength Material Interaction
- D.Fiber Laser Diode Pumping Opportunity
List of Figures
- 1.0Introduction
- 1.1Fiber Laser Revenuer Forecast 2003 -2008
- 1.2Fiber Laser Unit Forecast 2003 -2008
- 1.3Fiber Laser Price Premium with respect to a Lamp Pump Equivalent
(power)
- 1.4Price in $/Watt for different laser technologies with respect to time
(2004, 2006, 2008)
- 1.5Cost of ownership
- 1.5.1Cost of ownership for different laser technologies based on a
diode lifetime of 10,000hrs
- 1.5.2Cost of ownership for different laser technologies based on a
diode lifetime of 20,000hrs
- 1.5.3Cost of ownership for different laser technologies based on a
diode lifetime of 30,000hrs
- 1.5.42004 Projected Fiber Laser Manufacturing Cost 100W & 1kW
- 1.5.51kW Projected Fiber Laser Manufacturing Cost 2004/2006/2008
- 1.5.62008 Projected Fiber Laser Manufacturing Cost 1kW-20kW
- 2.0Technical Overview
- 3.0Critical Technologies
- 3.1DCF Fiber
- 3.2DCF Fiber pump geometry
- 3.3Fiber Damage Threshold
- 3.4Projected Fiber Laser Performance through 2008
- 3.5CW Fiber Laser Design
- 3.6Pulsed Fiber Laser Design
- 4.0High Power Diode Lasers
- 4.1Microchannel cooler
- 4.2Laser Diode Power Consumption
- 4.3Forecasted Price Erosion for Discrete Diodes, Bars and Stacks
- 4.4Price of Discrete/Bars and Stacks in $/W 2004 --2008
- 4.5Diode Demand by Application 2004-2008
- 4.6Diode performance overlay on Brightness and Applications through 2008
- 5.0Pump Light Coupling
- 5.1Diode Array
- 5.2Beam Collimation
- 5.3nLight Diode Stack(300W)
- 5.4Application overlay on Brightness (W/mm.mrad)
- 5.5Laser technology overlay on Brightness and Applications through 2008
- 6.0Fiber Laser Arrays
- 6.1Coherent Mixing
- 6.2Coherent Fiber Laser Design
- 7.0Alternative Technologies
- 7.1Disk Laser Pumping Geometry
- 8.0Applications and Markets 2004 -2008
- 8.1Worldwide Laser Revenue by Application ($)
- 8.22003 Market Opportunity by Application
- 8.3Most Likely Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast by Application
- 8.4Most Likely Unit Fiber Laser Forecast by Application
- 8.5Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast -- Cutting
- 8.6Fiber Laser Unit Forecast -- Cutting
- 8.72003 Technology % Revenue Market Share -- Welding
- 8.8Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast -- Welding
- 8.9Fiber Laser Unit Forecast -- Welding
- 8.10Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast -- Marking
- 8.11Fiber Laser Unit Forecast -- Marking
- 8.12Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast -- Printing
- 8.13Fiber Laser Unit Forecast -- Printing
- 8.14Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast -- Aerospace and Military
- 8.15Fiber Laser Unit Forecast -- Aerospace and Military
- 8.16Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast -- Drilling
- 8.17Fiber Laser Unit Forecast -- Drilling
- 8.18Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast -- Other
- 8.19Fiber Laser Unit Forecast -- Other
- 8.20Fiber Laser technology overlay on Brightness and Applications
through 2008
- 8.21Fiber Laser Most Likely CAGR growth rate by application
- 9.0Next Generation Fibers
- 10.0Regional Economic Factors
- 10.1Overall Industrial Laser Geographical % Market Share by Territory
- 11.0High Power Laser Manufacturers
- 11.1Fiber Laser Market Share by Company
- 11.2IPG 10kW Fiber Laser
- 11.3IPG pumping geometry
- 11.4SPI Fiber Geometry
- 11.5SPI DCF Fiber refractive index profile
- 11.6Nufern Fiber Laser Subassembly
- 14.0 Summary
- 14.1Fiber Laser Price Premium with respect to a Lamp Pump Equivalent
(power)
- 15.0Charts
- 15.1Worldwide Most Likely High Power Laser Industrial Market Growth by
Application/(millions)
- 15.2Forecasted Overall Market Revenue Growth Rate by Application
(Automotive accounts for the uptake in 2006 in welding and increased
penetration of the CNC market accounts for the 2008 increase in cutting)
- 15.32003 Geographic split by Revenues
- 15.42003 Geographic split by Units
- 15.5Most Likely Fiber Laser Penetration by Application
- 15.6Most Likely Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast by Application
- 15.7Most Likely Fiber Laser Unit Forecast by Application
- 15.8Low Forecast Fiber Laser Penetration by Application
- 15.9Low Forecast Fiber Laser Revenue by Application
- 15.10Low Forecast Fiber Laser Units by Application
- 15.11High Forecast Fiber Laser Penetration by Application
- 15.12High Forecast Fiber Laser Revenue by Application
- 15.13High Forecast Fiber Laser Revenue by Application
- 15.14Fiber Laser Revenue Forecast
- 15.15Fiber Laser Unit Forecast
- 15.16Fiber Laser Average Selling Price /Watt by Power based on Fiber
Costs
- 15.17Forecasted Maximum optical power available for diode pumping
- 15.18Forecasted Diode Pricing for Discrete Diodes, Bars and Stacks
- 15.19Fiber Laser Price Premium with respect to a Lamp Pump Equivalent
(power)
- 15.20Disk Laser Premium with respect to Fiber Laser Equivalent
- 15.21$/Watt analysis by technology
- 15.22Cost of Ownership - Diode lifetime =10,000hrs
- 15.23Cost of Ownership - Diode lifetime =20,000hrs
- 15.24Cost of Ownership - Diode lifetime =30,000hrs
- 15.252004 Projected Fiber Laser Manufacturing Cost 100W & 1kW
- 15.261kW Projected Fiber Laser Manufacturing Cost 2004/2006/2008
- 15.27Projected Fiber Laser Manufacturing Cost 100W --20kW
- 15.28Market Opportunity by Brightness
- 15.29Market Opportunity by Laser Technology on a Brightness basis
- 15.30Market Opportunity by Laser Technology Projected Fiber and Diode
Performance on a Brightness Basis
Appendix
- C.1Wavelength Material Interaction
- D.1Diode Electrical to Optical Efficiency
- D.2 Diode Most Likely Fiber Laser Pumping Opportunity
- D.3 Forecasted Diode Price Erosion
- D.4 Forecasted Maximum Power Evolution
- D.5 Diode Price and Diode Revenues
- D.6Total Diode Pumping Power
List of Tables
- 3.1 Fiber Laser Dopants and Wavelengths
- 5.1nLight Bar focusability
- 7.1Disk and Fiber Laser Technical Comparison
- 7.22003 Laser Technology Comparison
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