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2004 Energy Industry Review

Product Type: Market Research Report Publication Date: Sep 13, 2005
 
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TABLE OF CONTENTS

  • INTRODUCTION
  • COMMENTARY
      • WHAT CAUSED THE BLACKOUT?
        • A TASK FORCE LEANED MORE TOWARD GOVERNMENT CONTROL THAN TECHNICAL COMPETENCE
        • MARKET MADNESS
        • ORGANIZATIONS AND POLICIES
      • DON'T FORGET BIOMASS
        • DON'T FORGET BIOMASS (CONTINUED)
      • WHAT'S REALLY NEEDED IS RELIABLE POWER
      • STOCKS AND ENERGY
      • FOREIGN POLICY OF OIL
      • INVESTMENTS FOR PETROLEUM? DON'T COUNT ON IT.
        • INVESTMENTS FOR PETROLEUM? DON'T COUNT ON IT (CONTINUED)
      • SCIENCE AND POLICY
        • SCIENCE AND POLICY (CONTINUED)
  • ALTERNATIVES
      • GLOBAL HYDROGEN GENERATION, STORAGE AND DELIVERY DEVICE MARKET TO NEARLY DOUBLE TO $1.5 BILLION BY 2008
    • Table 1 GLOBAL HYDROGEN GENERATION, STORAGE AND DELIVERY DEVICE VALUE BY ENERGY APPLICATION, THROUGH 2008 ($ MILLIONS INCLUDING R&D)
      • WASTE OR RESOURCE
        • WHAT'S THE POINT OF EXTRACTING COALBED METHANE IN WYOMING?
        • COST-BENEFIT
    • Table 2 COST VS. BENEFITS
        • PRECAUTIONARY PRINCIPLE
        • UNCERTAINTY ANALYSIS
        • ATTENTION TO THE DISTRIBUTION OF COSTS, BENEFITS, AND UNCERTAINTIES
        • FULL DISCLOSURE
        • CBM EXTRACTION PROPOSAL
        • SUBSIDIES, NO ACCOUNTABILITY
        • DAMAGE AGREEMENTS
      • WHAT'S NEXT FOR SOLAR?
        • CAN THIS TECHNOLOGY MOVE OUT OF ITS NICHE AND BECOME A MAINSTREAM ENERGY SOURCE.
        • SHINING ON JAPAN
          • New Sunshine
        • 70,000 Solar Roof Program
        • SUNNY GERMANY
          • Roof Programs
        • Erneuerbare-Energien-Gesetz (EEG)
        • CALIFORNIA BUYS DOWN
        • RENEWABLES BUY-DOWN PROGRAM
    • Table 3 CUMULATIVE INSTALLED PV POWER IN JAPAN, GERMANY, AND THE U.S. (MW, 1998-2001)
        • SELF GENERATION PROGRAM
      • SWITCHING TO H2
        • REPLACE CURRENT FUELS WITH HYDROGEN. MAYBE. BUT INVESTMENTS WOULD BE VAST
        • IMPOSSIBLE DREAM?
        • STORAGE OPTIONS
        • FUTURE CARS
        • CLIMATE BENEFITS
        • FINDING COMMON GROUND
        • CONCLUSION
      • TRADING IN ETHANOL
        • THE U.S. MARKET IS BOOMING BUT INVESTING IS STILL RISKY
        • GROWING INDUSTRY
        • INDUSTRY DYNAMICS
        • GOVERNMENT POLICY
        • MARGIN VOLATILITY
    • Table 4 CORRELATION OF COMMODITY PRICES 1994-2004 ETHANOL GASOLINE CORN*
        • YIELD MATTERS
        • CONSTRUCTION NOT A RISK
        • CONCLUSION
      • IN THE WIND
        • WHAT'S THE ECONOMIC IMPACT OF WIND POWER INVESTMENT?
        • MANUFACTURING'S COMPONENT
        • TRACKING BENEFITS
        • STATES THAT BENEFIT
        • IDENTIFYING MANUFACTURERS
        • PLACING INCENTIVES
      • SOLAR POWER TURNS 50
      • GEARING UP ALTAMONT-AND PROTECTING BIRDS
        • BIGGER TURBINES, LOWER MORTALITY
        • ENERGY BENEFITS
  • BATTERY AND FUEL CELLS
      • GLOBAL MARKET FOR PREMIUM PORTABLE POWER SOURCES TO REACH $6.3 BILLION BY 2009
    • Table 5 GLOBAL VALUE OF PREMIUM PORTABLE POWER SOURCES BY TYPE, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
    • Figure 1 GLOBAL VALUE OF PREMIUM PORTABLE POWER SOURCES BY TYPE, 2004 AND 2009 (%)
      • LITHIUM BATTERY SALES TO REACH $2.7 BILLION BY 2009
    • Table 6 U.S. LITHIUM BATTERY SALES, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
    • Figure 2 U.S. LITHIUM BATTERY SALES, 2002-2009 ($ MILLIONS)
      • U.S. LARGE AND ADVANCED BATTERIES TO REACH $4.5 BILLION IN 2008
    • Table 7 VALUE OF U.S. ADVANCED BATTERY MARKET BY BATTERY TYPE, THROUGH 2008 ($ MILLIONS)
      • EVOLUTION OF FUEL CELLS AND BATTERIES FOR THE MILITARY TO CONTINUE IN THE COMING FIVE YEARS
        • EVOLUTION OF FUEL CELLS AND BATTERIES (CONTINUED)…
    • Table 8 ADVANCED POWER SOURCES FOR MILITARY APPLICATIONS BY TYPE, THROUGH 2008 ($ MILLIONS)
    • Figure 3 ADVANCED POWER SOURCES FOR MILITARY APPLICATIONS BY TYPE, 1980-2008 ($ MILLIONS)
      • U.S. WHOLESALE MARKET FOR BATTERY CONTROL TECHNOLOGY TO REACH $4.2 BILLION BY 2009
    • Table 9 HISTORIC AND PREDICTED WHOLESALE BATTERY CONTROL TECHNOLOGY SALES, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
    • Figure 4 HISTORIC AND PREDICTED WHOLESALE BATTERY CONTROL TECHNOLOGY SALES, 2001-2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • CONTRARIAN'S VIEW ON ENERGY
      • RETURN TO SANITY?
        • A LOOK AT WHERE HIGH TECHNOLOGY PANACEAS HAVEN'T FLOWN
        • AIRSHIPS
        • PROJECT MEGASOFC
        • AUTOMOTIVE FUEL
        • ZERO-EMISSION CARS
        • CONCLUSION
      • ENERGY FUNNIES
        • WHEN THEY THROW OUT MONEY BY THE BUCKET-WHAT COMES BACK?
        • VISION 21?
      • CO2 EMISSION CONTROL - FOR WHAT?
        • DON'T HOLD YOUR BREATH
        • CONTROLLING CO2
        • ASIAN BROWN CLOUD
        • GAS RESEARCH INSTITUTEÆ STATIC PROGRESS
      • VOICE OF AUTHORITY
        • JUMPING TO CONCLUSIONS ON GLOBAL WARMING
        • 'SUPER HAPPENING'
        • EAGER ENVIRONMENTALISTS
        • TRY COGENERATION
      • ENERGY DREAMS
        • OUR GERMAN CURMEDGEON SORTS THROUGH THE FANTASIA OF ENERGY TECHNOLOGY
        • RED CARD FOR LIARS
        • BIO-DIESEL SAGA
        • PREACHING BEYOND THE CONVERTED
        • CONCLUSION
          • Conclusion (continued)
  • DISTRIBUTION
      • PIPELINE SAFETY
        • A REPORT LOOKS AT THE NATIONS GAS AND OIL DISTRIBUTION GRID
        • COEXISTING WITH PIPELINES
        • THE DATA
        • LAND USE
        • HOW MUCH RISK?
        • THE FINDINGS
        • CONCLUSIONS
          • Conclusions (Continued)
        • RECOMMENDATIONS
          • Recommendations (Continued)
  • ECONOMICS
      • TRADING IN ETHANOL
        • IT'S BEEN A BEVERAGE, A SOLVENT AND FUEL FOR MILLENIA. WHAT NOW?
    • Table 10 ETHANOL FUTURES CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS CALLS FOR FOB VESSEL DELIVERY OF BULK LIQUID ETHANOL FROM ANY OF NINE COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN
        • A FUTURES MARKET
          • The Exchange
          • Pricing
        • THE TRANSACTION
        • CLEARING CORPORATION
        • REGULATION
        • ETHANOL CONTRACTS
          • Ethanol Contracts (Continued)
    • Table 11 WORLD FUEL ETHANOL TRADE, 2003-2010 (BILLON GALLONS)
      • STRATEGY IN THE OIL PATCH
        • SPENDING GROWTH WILL REMAIN IN SINGLE DIGITS IN 2004
        • WHERE'S THE GROWTH?
        • A LONG UPCYCLE
          • A Long Upcycle (Continued)
  • ELECTRICITY
      • WORLDWIDE SHIPMENTS OF UPS EQUIPMENT AND SUPPLIES TO CROSS $10 BILLION BY 2009
    • Table 12 VALUE OF WORLDWIDE UNINTERRUPTIBLE POWER EQUIPMENT AND SUPPLIES, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
    • Figure 5 VALUE OF WORLDWIDE UNINTERRUPTIBLE POWER EQUIPMENT AND SUPPLIES, 2003-2009 ($ MILLIONS)
      • WHAT THE HECK HAPPENED?
        • THE AUGUST 2003 BLACKOUT HIGHLIGHTS PROBLEMS ENDEMIC ACROSS THE CONTINENT
        • REGULATORY UNCERTAINTY
        • ANCILLARY SERVICES
        • DEBATE FACILITATED BLACKOUT
        • WILL ANCILLARY SERVICE IMPROVE?
        • MEMBERSHIP ISSUES
        • INCOMPLETE DEREGULATION
        • STATES RIGHTS VS. FERC MANDATE TO JOIN RTOS
        • INFRASTRUCTURE INADEQUACY
        • UTILITIES OBJECTIONS
        • COST BENEFITS
        • DE-BOTTLENECKING TRANSMISSION
          • De-Bottlenecking Transmission (Continued)
          • De-Bottlenecking Transmission (Continued)
        • PROTECTIVE INFRASTRUCTURE
        • LACK OF CLARITY
        • CONCLUSION
      • REINVENTING THE GRID
        • THE ELECTRICAL DISTRIBUTION GRID IS AN ANTIQUATED HODGEPODGE. HOW DO WE RESTRUCTURE IT?
        • BALANCING CONFLICTS
          • Balancing Conflicts (continued)
        • BASIC ARCHITECTURE
    • Table 13 PLANNED TRANSMISSION, TRANSMISSION CIRCUIT MILES - 230 KV AND ABOVE, 2003-2013
        • SMART, DIGITAL GRID
          • Smart, Digital Grid (continued)
        • BARRIERS, AGAIN
        • CONCLUSION
      • AVOIDING NEED FOR POWER PLANTS
      • CHIPS THAT MONITOR POWER
      • BLOCKING OUT BLACKOUTS
        • BLOCKING OUT BLACKOUTS (CONTINUED)
  • ENVIRONMENT
      • WORLD DEMAND FOR UNCONVENTIONAL OIL AND NATURAL GAS RESOURCES ON THE RISE…
    • Table 14 WORLD DEMAND FOR UNCONVENTIONAL OIL AND NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION, THROUGH 2008
    • Figure 6 WORLD DEMAND FOR UNCONVENTIONAL OIL AND NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION, 2000-2008
      • GLOBAL ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CATALYST MARKET TO REACH NEARLY $13 BILLION BY 2009
    • Table 15 GLOBAL ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CATALYST MARKET, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
    • Figure 7 GLOBAL ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CATALYST MARKET, 2002-2009 ($ MILLIONS)
      • MANAGING THE GREENHOUSE
        • ENERGY COMPANIES FACE MANY CHOICES. IT'S NOT EASY.
        • PLAUSIBLE SCENARIOS
        • CLIMATE CHANGE
        • HARD CHOICES
      • AIRY CONSPIRACY
        • NRDC ACCUSES UTILITIES OF COLLUSION TO VIOLATE AIR QUALITY STANDARDS
        • INDUSTRY CANARD
        • HOBBLED ENFORCEMENT
  • INTERNATIONAL
      • UNSEATING OPEC
        • RUSSIA IS DETERMINED TO RE-ORDER ITS OIL PATCH AND DOMINATE WORLD MARKETS.
        • THE "YUKOS AFFAIR"
        • "KREMPEC"
        • PETROLEUM KINGPIN
        • "WIN-WIN" SCENARIO
      • OPEC STILL DECLINING
        • EXPORT REVENUES STILL LAG FAR BEHIND PEAK YEARS OF TWO DECADES AGO
        • REVENUE DECLINE
    • Table 16 OPEC OIL EXPORT REVENUES AT A GLANCE (BILLIONS)
        • NON-OPEC EFFECTS
        • IRAN'S ROLE
        • PRICE COLLAPSE
      • JAPAN'S STRUGGLE
        • THE WORLD'S SECOND LARGEST ENERGY IMPORTER IS ALSO GRAPPLING WITH SUPPLY PROBLEMS
        • IMPORT, IMPORT...
        • OIL RESERVES
          • Oil Reserves (Continued)
    • Table 17 JAPAN ENERGY OVERVIEW
        • REFINING/DOWNSTREAM
        • NATURAL GAS
          • Natural Gas (Continued)
        • COAL
        • NUCLEAR ENERGY?
          • Nuclear Energy? (Continued)
        • SUMMARY
      • RIDING THE TIGER
        • THE GLOBAL IMPACT OF CHINA'S ENERGY QUANDARY
        • TAKING CHALLENGES
          • A Season of Shortage
            • Oil
            • Coal
            • Power
              • Natural gas
          • What's Driving Demand?
            • Squeeze of Bottlenecks
          • Inflection Point
            • Poor Fundamentals
            • Capital Inefficiency
        • IMPLICATIONS
          • Implications (Continued)
      • BRINGING METHANE TO THE MARKET
      • GAS SUPPLY IN OPEN MARKETS
    • Table 18 WORLD NATURAL GAS RESERVES BY COUNTRY AS OF JANUARY 1, 2004
  • MARKETS
      • SELLING GREENHOUSE GAS
        • CLEARING THE AIR IS EASIER IF MARKETS FOR CARBON DIOXIDE ARE DEVELOPED
        • CARBON CREDITS
        • DEMAND FOR CREDITS
        • BUYERS AND SELLERS
          • North America
          • Europe
          • Asia
        • BROKERING GREENHOUSE GASES
        • METHANE OPPORTUNITY
    • Table 19 GLOBAL MERCHANT CARBON DIOXIDE UTILIZATION, THROUGH 2008
        • FACTORS AFFECTING MARKETS
        • CONCLUSION
      • POWER HITS RECORD HIGH
        • WHOLESALE PRICES DEFINED U.S. POWER MARKETS
    • Table 20 RESTATED PRICE ASSUMPTIONS FOR POWER MARKETS, 2004-2005
        • RECORD PRICES
        • PRICE ADJUSTMENTS
        • COAL PRICES
  • NEWS AND VIEWS
      • NATURAL GAS
        • WORLD NATURAL GAS DEMAND TO CONTINUE TO INCREASE IN THE COMING FIVE YEARS...
    • Table 21 WORLD NATURAL GAS DEMAND BY CATEGORY, THROUGH 2008 (TCF/YEAR)
        • TWO PROMISING SUPPLY OPTIONS
          • Two Promising Supply Options (Continued)
          • Two Promising Supply Options (Continued)
        • GAS COSTS FLYING HIGH
          • Manufacturing
        • WORLD BANK SHIFTS TO NATURAL GAS
        • LARGEST PRODUCTION OF LIQUEFIED NATURAL GAS
        • HUGE RESOURCES FOUND IN TX AND OK
        • DEMAND GROWTH SPURS LNG PROJECTS
          • Demand Growth Spurs LNG Projects (Continued)
      • ALTERNATIVES
        • PRICE STABILITY FROM RENEWABLE GENERATION
        • FAST-GROWING STATES SUPPORT RENEWABLES
        • BIG ARRAY OF SOLAR THERMAL SYSTEMS
          • Big Array of Solar Thermal Systems (Continued)
        • WIND PROVIDES POWER FOR ELECTROLYSIS
        • LIGHTNING HARMS WIND TURBINES
          • Lightning Harms Wind Turbines (continued)
        • GTI PURSUES GASIFICATION
        • METHANE CLATHRATE HYDRATE PROSPECTING
        • A SOLAR PLANT FOR AUSTRALIA
        • ANOTHER GEOTHERMAL POWER PLANT
        • GEYSERS PROVIDE RECYCLED WATER
        • ENERGY BLUEPRINT FOR HUDSON VALLEY
        • USGS PRESENTS HYDRATES FINDINGS
      • ENVIRONMENT/EMISSIONS
        • U.S. COMPANIES LAG ON KYOTO PROTOCOL
        • SIEMENS PROMOTING GEOTHERMAL ENERGY
        • THE DANGERS OF DIFFERENT PATHS TO CLIMATE CHANGE
        • KEEPING AN EYE ON YUCCA MOUNTAIN
        • MEMBRANE ADVANCES FUEL CELL GOAL
        • ICF ADVISES CONTROLS POSTPONEMENT
        • BIOTECH BREAKS CELLULOSE BARRIER
        • CHINA SENDS POLLUTION ACROSS ASIA
        • ARE ENVIROS WRONG ON GROUNDWATER THREAT?
          • Are Enviros Wrong on Groundwater Threat? (Continued)
        • CALIFORNIA TACKLES CLIMATE CHANGE
        • WHAT'S THE SOURCE OF MERCURY POLLUTION?
          • What's the Source of Mercury Pollution? (Continued)
        • MORE BAD NEWS ON FOSSIL FUELS
      • ELECTRIC UTILITIES
        • U.S. SMALL-SCALE POWER MARKET TO REACH $6.1 BILLION BY 2008
    • Table 22 U.S. SMALL-SCALE POWER TECHNOLOGIES MARKET, THROUGH 2008
        • WORLDWIDE REVENUES FROM SMALL HYDRO AND OCEAN ENERGY CONVERSION EQUIPMENT INSTALLATIONS TO CROSS $8.8 BILLION BY 2008
    • Table 23 WORLD SMALL HYDRO AND OCEAN ENERGY CAPACITY MARKETS AND REVENUES, THROUGH 2008
    • Figure 8 PERCENTAGE SHARES OF SMALL HYDROMECHANICAL ENERGY CONVERSION DEVICES MARKET IN 2008
        • WORLDWIDE REVENUES FROM BULK PHOTOVOLTAIC INSTALLATIONS TO REACH NEARLY $555 MILLION BY 2008
    • Table 24 WORLD BULK PHOTOVOLTAIC INSTALLED CAPACITY AND REVENUE, THROUGH 2008
    • Figure 9 WORLD BULK ARRAY PHOTOVOLTAIC CUMULATIVE CAPACITY, 1982-2003 (MW)
        • ELECTRIC COMPANIES' PATH TO BANKRUPTCY
        • GE TO INCREASE CHINA'S POWER GRID
        • WEATHER DRIVES WINTER ELECTRIC DEMANDS
        • AMSC MAKES VOLTAGE REGULATOR SALE
        • CONSTRUCTION BEGINS FOR NY HTS CABLE
        • MITIGATING THREATS TO THE POWER GRID
        • SYNERGISTIC SUPERGRID UNDER DEVELOPMENT
          • Synergistic Supergrid Under Development (Continued)
        • NERC ASSESSES SUMMER RELIABILITY
        • INVESTMENT COULD LOWER WHOLESALE POWER PRICES
        • USING ENGINEERING TO EXTRACT EFFICIENCY GAINS
        • POWER PLANTS WILL NOT CAUSE MERCURY "HOT SPOTS"
          • Power Plants Will Not Cause Mercury "Hot Spots" (Continued)
        • INTEGRATING LOCAL POWER INTO EXISTING SYSTEMS
      • INDICATORS
        • FOCUS ON NATURAL GAS
          • Weather Drives Winter Electric Demands (Continued)
    • Table 25 TOTAL U.S. PROVED RESERVES OF DRY NATURAL GAS, 1993-2003 (BILLION CUBIC FEET AT 14.73 PSIA, 60° FAHRENHEIT)
        • PETROLEUM OVERVIEW
    • Table 26 PETROLEUM OVERVIEW, 1949-2002 (THOUSAND BARRELS PER DAY)
        • CURRENT DOE FORECASTS OF ENERGY SUPPLY AND DISPOSITION
    • Table 27 CURRENT DOE FORECASTS OF ENERGY SUPPLY AND DISPOSITION, 2001, 2002 AND 2010
      • OUTLOOK
        • POLITICS POWER RENEWABLES INTO MAINSTREAM
          • Politics Power Renewables into Mainstream (Continued)
        • CONSERVING HYDROCARBONS WOULD SAVE $438 BILLION
        • DOE ANNOUNCES FY 2005 BUDGET REQUEST
        • FUEL ECONOMY REFORMS COMING
        • ENERGY OUTLOOK
      • INTERNATIONAL
        • EU EXPANSION SIGNALS GROWTH OPPORTUNITIES
      • PETROLEUM
        • IMF WANTS AFRICA TO CUT OIL DEPENDENCE
        • STORING CO2 IN PARTIALLY DEPLETED OIL WELLS
          • Storing CO2 in Partially Depleted Oil Wells (Continued)
        • THE PETROLEUM AGE IS FAR FROM OVER
        • CARBON DRILL PIPE IS TECHNICAL ACHIEVEMENT
      • COAL
        • GE ENERGY TO ACQUIRE GASIFICATION TECHNOLOGY
        • ULTRA-HIGH TEMP COAL PLANTS ARE MORE EFFICIENT
        • COAL-BASED METHANOL "LEAST EXPENSIVE" OPTION
      • TRANSPORTATION
        • DIESEL CAR ON THE ROAD TO REFORM
          • Diesel Car on the Road to Reform (Continued)
        • HYDROGEN THREE-WHEELERS DEVELOPED IN INDIA
        • AUTOMOBILES ARE SPARKING A REVOLUTION
        • ENERGY MANAGERS FOR THE AUTOMOBILE
        • GAS TAX ALTERNATIVE GETS ROAD TEST
        • GAS TAX ALTERNATIVE GETS ROAD TEST (CONTINUED)
        • PARTICLES GIVE CLUES TO CLEANER ENGINES
      • NUCLEAR
        • YUCCA DUMP RADIATION STANDARDS OVERRULED
        • NUCLEAR PLANTS TO GO OFF INTERNET
        • MAKE POTASSIUM IODIDE AVAILABLE
      • OIL
        • WORLD DEMAND FOR UNCONVENTIONAL OIL AND NATURAL GAS RESOURCES ON THE RISE…
    • Table 28 WORLD DEMAND FOR UNCONVENTIONAL OIL AND NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION, THROUGH 2008
        • SHELL RE-CATEGORIZES ITS RESERVES
      • POLICY
        • WORLD BANK ENDORSES INVESTMENT INITIATIVE
      • NEW TECHNOLOGY
        • ELECTROPLATING BOOSTS SOLAR CELLS
        • FLYWHEEL SPINS TO A SPEED RECORD
          • Flywheel Spins To A Speed Record (Continued)
        • ULTRA LOW-EMISSION ON-SITE SYSTEMS
        • DOES DISTRIBUTION EFFICIENCY YIELD SAVINGS?
        • ELECTROPLATING BOOSTS SOLAR CELLS
        • SIEMENS ADVANCES ORGANIC SOLAR CELLS
        • NEW COOLING SYSTEM TECHNOLOGY
      • NEW BRIEFS
        • HIGH ALTITUDE POWER SOUGHT
        • FUEL CELL POWERS HIGHWAY PROJECT
        • MORE EFFICIENT FREIGHT TRANSPORT
        • TECHNOLOGY REDUCES TRUCK IDLING
        • CYLINDER DEACTIVATION DEMONSTRATED
        • WORLD'S LARGEST SOLAR DISH DEBUTS IN ISRAEL
        • RESEARCHERS BREAK ELECTRONICS SPEED RECORD
        • FUEL CELL TO POWER TRAIN
        • 2004 SUV'S ARE GREENEST AND MEANEST
        • FL GOVERNOR PROPOSES MILLIONS FOR HYDROGEN
        • CLATHRATES WAY TO STORE HYDROGEN
        • U.S. COOPERATES ON R&D EFFORTS
        • AUSTRALIA SEES FUTURE H2 DEMAND
        • BROIN ANNOUNCES ETHANOL TECHNOLOGY
        • ADVANCED DIRECT CONTACT CONDENSER
        • ABRAHAM, AND GOJI SAKAMOTO
        • FASTER DEPLOYMENT OF ADVANCED POWER
  • NUCLEAR
      • HOPE FOR YUCCA MOUNTAIN
        • THE U.S. NUCLEAR WASTE REPOSITORY MAY YET BECOME REALITY. TAKE A LOOK
        • POSITION REVERSAL
        • A TRIP TO YUCCA MT.
        • THE FUTURE
        • THE TOTAL SYSTEM
        • CORROSIVE OPPOSITION
        • ACCURATE ESTIMATES
        • VIEW FROM YUCCA, MT.
      • CURBING RUSSIAN PLUTONIUM
        • EFFORTS TO SHUT DOWN WEAPONS ERA PLANTS FACE ROADBLOCKS
        • HAZARDOUS LEGACY
        • UNSAFE TECHNOLOGY
        • WHAT GAO FOUND
        • SHUTDOWN CHALLENGES
        • RECOMMENDATIONS
      • ANNIVERSARIES OF TMI, CHERNOBYL
        • ANNIVERSARIES OF TMI, CHERNOBYL (CONTINUED)
        • ANNIVERSARIES OF TMI, CHERNOBYL (CONTINUED)
  • POLICY
      • GAS VS. NUKES
        • THE ENERGY DEPT. TAKES AN ANNUAL LOOK AT ITS CRYSTAL BALL
        • LNG SUPPLY POTENTIAL
          • LNG Supply Potential (Continued)
        • NUCLEAR POWER
          • Building New Plants
            • Building New Plants (Continued)
          • Results of Workshops
            • Results of Workshops (Continued)
          • Summary of Projections
            • Summary of Projections (Continued)
  • SUPPLY
      • FINANCING DISTRIBUTED ENERGY
        • CAN WE BUILD AN ELECTRIC SYSTEM THAT RELIES ON THE PERFORMANCE OF INDIVIDUALS?
        • SCOPE OF DE
        • DRIVING FORCES
          • Driving Forces (Continued)
        • NEAR-TERM CHALLENGES
    • Table 29 PERSPECTIVES OF THE DE PARTICIPANTS*
        • COMMON LANGUAGE
        • ANALYTICAL FRAMEWORK
      • GLOBAL OIL, GAS RESERVES CAUSE FOR PANIC?
        • ANALYSTS KEEP DOWNSIZING OIL AND GAS RESERVES. ARE WE REALLY RUNNING OUT?
        • EVALUATING REPORTING
        • INTERNAL ENGINEERING
        • EXTERNAL ENGINEERING
        • ACCOUNTING METHODS
        • RESERVE REVISIONS
        • SCRUTINIZING RESULTS
        • ESTIMATED COSTS
        • PREDICTABLE SUPPLY
      • AN END OF OIL?
        • MARION KING HUBBERT MADE PREDICTIONS ABOUT OIL SUPPPLIES. ARE THEY COMING TRUE?
        • WORLDWIDE CONSUMPTION
        • HISTORIC RECORD
        • REAL PEAKS
        • FALLING CURVES
        • REACHING THE PEAK
        • BEGINNING OR END
        • METHANE HYDRATE
        • IS COAL THE KING?
        • THE FUTURE
        • ENORMOUS CHALLENGES
        • FUSION RESEARCH
      • LOOKING FOR MORE
        • A STUDY SAYS EXPLORATION WILL GAIN BY 9% THIS YEAR
        • SPENDING GROWTH
          • International
          • United States
          • Canada
    • Table 30 SELECTED U.S. OPERATING STATISTICS FOR FRS COMPANIES AND U.S. INDUSTRY, 1996-2002
    • Table 30 (CONTINUED)
        • "APPLES-TO-APPLES"
          • United States
          • Canada
          • International
        • PRICE ASSUMPTIONS
        • RIG COUNT
      • DWINDLING RESERVES?
        • NOT YET, SAYS BP'S "STATISTICAL REVIEW OF WORLD ENERGY 2004"
        • PROVED RESERVES
        • MARKET INFLUENCES
        • FUEL CONSUMPTION
          • Oil
          • Natural Gas
          • Coal, Nuclear and Hydroelectric
      • SECURE RESOURCES
        • HOW CAN ENERGY SECURITY BE CERTAIN IN A DANGEROUS WORLD?
        • GROWING RISKS
        • INVESTMENT REQUIREMENTS
          • Fossil Fuels
          • Shifting Oil-Supply Patterns
        • RELIABLE DATA?
        • UNCERTAIN TRENDS
        • GAS MAY OVERTAKE COAL
        • ELECTRICITY'S ROLE
        • RUSSIAN EXPORTS POISED GROWTH
        • PROSPECTS FOR DEVELOPMENT
        • NEW POLICIES
      • MEETING DEMAND
        • CRUDE OIL RESERVES DECLINE BUT NATURAL GAS RESERVES ARE UP
        • CRUDE OIL
        • NATURAL GAS
    • Table 31 PROVED RESERVES (AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2003)
        • NATURAL GAS LIQUIDS
      • CLEAN COAL
        • NATURAL GAS PRICES ARE SPIKING. COAL LOOKS LIKE AN ALTERNATIVE
        • TURNING COAL INTO GAS
        • BREAKING RECORDS
        • EFFICIENT MATERIALS
      • NEW OIL CANNOT MEET WORLD DEMAND
        • REPLACING DECLINES
        • DEMAND, GROWTH SCENARIOS
        • "DRAMATIC FALL OFF"
      • DER MARKETS ARE TURNING UPWARD
      • REFINERS STRUGGLE TO MATCH DEMAND
        • REFINERS STRUGGLE TO MATCH DEMAND (CONTINUED)
        • REFINERS STRUGGLE TO MATCH DEMAND (CONTINUED)
  • TECHNOLOGY
      • GETTING HYDROGEN FROM COAL
        • EFFORT IS BEING MADE TO DEVELOP MEMBRANES TO SEPARATE HYDROGEN FROM COAL SYNGAS
        • DEVELOPING TECHNOLOGY
        • DENSE CERAMIC MEMBRANES
        • POROUS CERAMIC MEMBRANES
        • METALLIC MEMBRANES
        • POLYMER MEMBRANES
      • FLARING AND VENTING
        • HOW MUCH NATURAL GAS ENDS UP IN THE ATMOSPHERE? NO ONE SEEMS TO KNOW
        • ESTIMATING LOSSES
    • Table 32 ESTIMATED GAS FLARED AND VENTED, 2000
        • ABATION EFFORTS
    • Table 33 U. S. NATURAL GAS PRODUCED AND FLARED AND VENTED, 2002 (MILLIONS OF CUBIC FEET)
        • REDUCING WASTE
      • SUPER SUPERCONDUCTORS VIA NANOTECHNOLOGY
      • NEW BRIEFS
        • DMFC MEMBRANE COMPARED TO NAFION
        • KYNAR ADAPTED FOR FUEL CELL USE
        • GOLD NANOTUBES CONVERT BIOMASS TO POWER
        • T/J TECHNOLOGIES IMPROVES POWER DENSITY
        • MPHASE TO MARKET NANOGRASS
        • FLYWHEEL PROTECTION
        • TI OFFERS SMALLEST IC
        • CATALYSTS DESIGNED FOR FUEL CELLS
  • TRANSPORTATION
      • U.S. MARKET FOR ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY COMPONENTS FOR FUEL CELL VEHICLES TO REACH $2.08 MILLION BY 2009
        • U.S. MARKET FOR ADVANCED TECHNOLOGY .. (CONTINUED)
    • Table 34 VALUE FOR MAJOR COMPONENTS FOR U.S. FUEL CELL VEHICLES, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
      • THE DIESEL DILEMMA
        • A REPORT HAS A DIFFERENT TAKE ON DIESEL POWERED VEHICLES
        • CLEANER BUT…
        • PLACE FOR GASOLINE
        • RECOMMENDATIONS
          • Recommendations (continued)
      • STANDARDS OR TAXES?
        • THE CONGRESSIONAL BUDGET OFFICE LOOKS AT WAYS TO CUT VEHICLE FUEL CONSUMPTION
        • ALTERNATIVE POLICIES
          • Alternative Policies (continued)
    • Table 35 TOTAL LONG-RUN ANNUAL COSTS TO ACHIEVE A 10% REDUCTION IN GASOLINE CONSUMPTION UNDER ALTERNATIVE POLICIES (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS)
        • KEY ASSUMPTIONS
        • IMPROVING SOCIAL WELFARE?
          • Improving Social Welfare? (Continued)
      • HEADING TOWARD HYDROGEN
        • WHAT ARE THE HURDLES TO CLEAN, ON-PETROLEUM ENERGY?
        • PRODUCTION
          • Methane Reforming
          • Electrolysis
          • Sulfur-Iodine
        • HYDROGEN STORAGE
          • High-Pressure Gas
          • Metal Hydrides
          • Alanates
        • HYDROGEN DISTRIBUTION
          • Large Plants with a National Grid
          • Small Plants at Service Stations
          • Hydrogen Service Stations
        • ALTERNATIVES, COMPLEMENTS
          • Increased Fuel Economy
          • Electric Cars
        • SODIUM BOROHYDRIDE AS A SOURCE
        • ALTERNATIVE FUELS
      • NEW BRIEFS
        • ON-BOARD ELECTRIC DRIVE FOR COMMERCIAL AIRCRAFT
        • VEHICLE AMONG FUTURE TRUCKS
        • WILL COAL FUEL ADVANCED AIRCRAFT?
        • NATIONWIDE ACCESS TO BIODIESEL BLENDS
        • HONDA HYBRID GEARS UP
        • BETTER CONTROL FOR HEVS
        • OVONIC PROVIDES PEAK POWER
        • OXONICA AND BASF COLLABORATE
        • DUAL BATTERY ALWAYS DELIVERS
  • UTILITIES
      • RETHINKING THE GRID
        • AVOIDING BLACKOUTS AND MODERNIZING THE POWER GRID IS HARDER THAN YOU THINK
        • PARTIAL DEREGULATION
        • SIZE AND STRESS
          • Size and Stress (Continued)
        • LET THE MARKET DO IT?
          • Let the Market Do It? (Continued)
          • Let the Market Do It? (Continued)
        • WHAT'S STOPPING REGULATION?
          • Problems Introduced by Deregulation
            • Problems Introduced by Deregulation? (Continued)
          • Uncertain Federal Policies
      • KEEPING TABS
        • UTILITIES ADOPTING WIDE AREA MONITORING SYSTEMS.
        • HOW IT WORKS
        • CURRENT DESIGNS
        • AN ALTERNATIVE APPROACH
          • An Alternative Approach (Continued)
        • DELIVERABLES
        • THE FUTURE
      • NEWS BRIEFS
        • FUELCELL WINS 4 MW ORDER
        • FLORIDA TO SPEND $10 MILLION
        • SMART GENERATION TESTED IN HOUSE
        • AXANE UNVEILS 2.5 KW SYSTEM
  • LIST OF TABLES
  • Table 1 GLOBAL HYDROGEN GENERATION, STORAGE AND DELIVERY DEVICE VALUE BY ENERGY APPLICATION, THROUGH 2008 ($ MILLIONS INCLUDING R&D)
  • Table 2 COST VS. BENEFITS
  • Table 3 CUMULATIVE INSTALLED PV POWER IN JAPAN, GERMANY, AND THE U.S. (MW, 1998-2001)
  • Table 4 CORRELATION OF COMMODITY PRICES 1994-2004 ETHANOL GASOLINE CORN*
  • Table 5 GLOBAL VALUE OF PREMIUM PORTABLE POWER SOURCES BY TYPE, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Table 6 U.S. LITHIUM BATTERY SALES, THROUGH 2009
  • ($ MILLIONS)
  • Table 7 VALUE OF U.S. ADVANCED BATTERY MARKET BY BATTERY TYPE, THROUGH 2008 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Table 8 ADVANCED POWER SOURCES FOR MILITARY APPLICATIONS BY TYPE, THROUGH 2008 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Table 9 HISTORIC AND PREDICTED WHOLESALE BATTERY CONTROL TECHNOLOGY SALES, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Table 10 ETHANOL FUTURES CONTRACT SPECIFICATIONS CALLS FOR FOB VESSEL DELIVERY OF BULK LIQUID ETHANOL FROM ANY OF NINE COUNTRIES OF ORIGIN
  • Table 11 WORLD FUEL ETHANOL TRADE, 2003-2010 (BILLON GALLONS)
  • Table 12 VALUE OF WORLDWIDE UNINTERRUPTIBLE POWER EQUIPMENT AND SUPPLIES, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Table 13 PLANNED TRANSMISSION, TRANSMISSION CIRCUIT MILES - 230 KV AND ABOVE, 2003-2013
  • Table 14 WORLD DEMAND FOR UNCONVENTIONAL OIL AND NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION, THROUGH 2008
  • Table 15 GLOBAL ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CATALYST MARKET, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Table 16 OPEC OIL EXPORT REVENUES AT A GLANCE (BILLIONS)
  • Table 17 JAPAN ENERGY OVERVIEW
  • Table 18 WORLD NATURAL GAS RESERVES BY COUNTRY AS OF JANUARY 1, 2004
  • Table 19 GLOBAL MERCHANT CARBON DIOXIDE UTILIZATION, THROUGH 2008
  • Table 20 RESTATED PRICE ASSUMPTIONS FOR POWER MARKETS, 2004-2005
  • Table 21 WORLD NATURAL GAS DEMAND BY CATEGORY, THROUGH 2008 (TCF/YEAR)
  • Table 22 U.S. SMALL-SCALE POWER TECHNOLOGIES MARKET, THROUGH 2008
  • Table 23 WORLD SMALL HYDRO AND OCEAN ENERGY CAPACITY MARKETS AND REVENUES, THROUGH 2008
  • Table 24 WORLD BULK PHOTOVOLTAIC INSTALLED CAPACITY AND REVENUE, THROUGH 2008
  • Table 25 TOTAL U.S. PROVED RESERVES OF DRY NATURAL GAS, 1993-2003 (BILLION CUBIC FEET AT 14.73 PSIA, 60° FAHRENHEIT)
  • Table 26 PETROLEUM OVERVIEW, 1949-2002 (THOUSAND BARRELS PER DAY)
  • Table 27 CURRENT DOE FORECASTS OF ENERGY SUPPLY AND DISPOSITION, 2001, 2002 AND 2010
  • Table 28 WORLD DEMAND FOR UNCONVENTIONAL OIL AND NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION, THROUGH 2008
  • Table 29 PERSPECTIVES OF THE DE PARTICIPANTS*
  • Table 30 SELECTED U.S. OPERATING STATISTICS FOR FRS COMPANIES AND U.S. INDUSTRY, 1996-2002
  • Table 31 PROVED RESERVES (AS OF DECEMBER 31, 2003)
  • Table 32 ESTIMATED GAS FLARED AND VENTED, 2000
  • Table 33 U. S. NATURAL GAS PRODUCED AND FLARED AND VENTED, 2002 (MILLIONS OF CUBIC FEET)
  • Table 34 VALUE FOR MAJOR COMPONENTS FOR U.S. FUEL CELL VEHICLES, THROUGH 2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Table 35 TOTAL LONG-RUN ANNUAL COSTS TO ACHIEVE A 10% REDUCTION IN GASOLINE CONSUMPTION UNDER ALTERNATIVE POLICIES (BILLIONS OF DOLLARS)
  • LIST OF FIGURES
  • Figure 1 GLOBAL VALUE OF PREMIUM PORTABLE POWER SOURCES BY TYPE, 2004 AND 2009 (%)
  • Figure 2 U.S. LITHIUM BATTERY SALES, 2002-2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Figure 3 ADVANCED POWER SOURCES FOR MILITARY APPLICATIONS BY TYPE, 1980-2008 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Figure 4 HISTORIC AND PREDICTED WHOLESALE BATTERY CONTROL TECHNOLOGY SALES, 2001-2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Figure 5 VALUE OF WORLDWIDE UNINTERRUPTIBLE POWER EQUIPMENT AND SUPPLIES, 2003-2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Figure 6 WORLD DEMAND FOR UNCONVENTIONAL OIL AND NATURAL GAS PRODUCTION, 2000-2008
  • Figure 7 GLOBAL ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENTAL CATALYST MARKET, 2002-2009 ($ MILLIONS)
  • Figure 8 PERCENTAGE SHARES OF SMALL HYDROMECHANICAL ENERGY CONVERSION DEVICES MARKET IN 2008
  • Figure 9 WORLD BULK ARRAY PHOTOVOLTAIC CUMULATIVE CAPACITY, 1982-2003 (MW)

2004 Energy Industry Review

Publisher: Business Communications Co., Inc.

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