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SUMMARY
REPORT HIGHLIGHTS
- By 2010, the worldwide influenza market is likely to reach $7.1 billion,
with average annual growth estimated at 19.8%.
- The worldwide influenza market is estimated at $2.9 billion in 2005, up
from $1.5 billion the previous year.
- The market is estimated to reach $7.1 billion in 2010, an increase of more
than $4.2 billion over the forecast period.
- The worldwide therapeutics/vaccines market is likely to reach $6.9 billion
in 2010, with average annual growth estimated at 20.8%.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION
- STUDY GOALS AND OBJECTIVES
- REASONS FOR DOING THE STUDY
- SCOPE AND FORMAT
- METHODOLOGY
- RELATED BCC STUDIES
- ANALYST CREDENTIALS
- BCC ONLINE SERVICES
- DISCLAIMER
SUMMARY
- THE INFLUENZA MARKET: MAJOR MARKETS
- Summary Table:
- GLOBAL FORECAST OF THE INFLUENZA MARKET BY PRODUCT SEGMENT, THROUGH 2010
($ MILLION)
- Summary Figure:
- WORLDWIDE INFLUENZA MARKET ANALYSIS BY PRODUCT SEGMENT, 2003-2010 ($
MILLIONS)
INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
- INDUSTRY OVERVIEW
- Table 1 VACCINE RECOMMENDATIONS
- HISTORY OF THE MARKET
- EPIDEMICS/PANDEMICS
- Spanish Influenza 1918-1919
- Hong Kong Influenza 1968
- Russian Influenza 1977
- Asian Influenza 1957
- Swine Flu 1976
- Avian Flu 1961, 1997, 2003-Present
- Virus Mutations
- Types of Influenza
- Influenza Type A
- Influenza A H5
- Influenza A H7
- Influenza A H9
- Influenza Type B
- Influenza Type C
- Table 2 WORLDWIDE INFLUENZA ACTIVITY
- Table 22 (CONTINUED)
- VIRAL SURVEILLANCE
- Table 3 VIRAL SURVEILLANCE, PERCENTAGE OF INFLUENZA VIRUS TYPE, 2004-2005
AND 2005-2006 FLU SEASONS (%)
- CURRENT H5N1 VIRUS "DRIFT AND SHIFT"
- DEVELOPMENT OF FLU VACCINES
- Table 4 INFLUENZA RESEARCH TEAMS AND AREAS OF STUDY
- WORLD DEMOGRAPHICS AND INCIDENCE/MORTALITY
- Table 5 ESTIMATED GLOBAL POPULATION BY SELECTED AGE GROUP, 2003-2010
(MILLIONS)
- Figure 1 ESTIMATED WORLD POPULATION BY SELECTED AGE GROUP, 2003-2010
(MILLIONS)
- Table 6 ESTIMATED WORLD POPULATION INCLUDING SOME COUNTRIES, 2003-2010
(MILLIONS)
- Figure 2 ESTIMATED WORLD POPULATION BY REGION, 2003-2010 (MILLIONS)
- Table 7 WORLDWIDE VIRAL STATISTICS, 2005
- Table 8 UNITED STATES VIRAL STATISTICS, 2005
ISSUES AFFECTING THE MARKET
- GOVERNMENT INTERVENTION
- UNITED STATES
- Table 9 COUNTRIES WITH U.S. EMBARGOES FOR BIRDS
- Table 9 (CONTINUED)
- Chinese and United States Governments
- Turkey and the United States
- WHO and CDC
- WHO
- Table 10 WHO REPORTED CASES OF AVIAN FLU IN HUMANS, MARCH 2006
- The WHO and Containment Issues
- Table 11 APPROVED WHO INFLUENZA CENTERS BY REGION
- Table 11 (CONTINUED)
- Table 11 (CONTINUED)
- Table 11 (CONTINUED)
- Table 11 (CONTINUED)
- Table 11 (CONTINUED)
- Table 11 (CONTINUED)
- CDC
- Table 12 CONFIRMED CASES OF AVIAN FLU OUTBREAKS IN ANIMALS WORLDWIDE,
2003 TO PRESENT
- Table 12 (CONTINUED)
- LEGISLATION
- Department of Defense, Emergency Supplemental Appropriations to
Address Hurricanes in The Gulf of Mexico, and Pandemic Influenza Act, 2006
- Global Network for Avian Influenza Surveillance Act
- Pandemic Preparedness and Response Act
- Pandemic and Seasonal Influenza Act Of 2005
- Seasonal Influenza and Pandemic Preparation Act of 2005
- National Biodefense and Pandemic Preparedness Act of 2005
- EPIDEMIC/PANDEMIC PREPAREDNESS
- Table 13 ALLOCATED FUNDS FOR INFLUENZA RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
- IMMATERIALIZED MARKET RISK
- VACCINE STOCKPILES
- MEDIA COVERAGE AND VACCINATIONS
- EPIDEMIC/PANDEMIC THREAT
- Table 14 ESTIMATED INCIDENCE OF INFLUENZA IN SEVERE OUTBREAKS BASED ON
POPULATION ESTIMATES, U.S. CENSUS BUREAU INTERNATIONAL DATABASE
- Table 14 (CONTINUED)
- Table 14 (CONTINUED)
- Table 15 PREDICTED IMPACT ON HEALTH SERVICES FROM THE NEXT INFLUENZA
PANDEMIC IN THE TROPICS, BASED ON CDC'S FLUAID PREDICTION MODEL FOR PEAK WEEK
TECHNOLOGY
- CURRENT USES OF TECHNOLOGY
- CDC TESTING KIT
- BD MEDICAL AND GLAXOSMITHKLINE
- PATENT ANALYSIS
- Table16 U.S. PATENT EVALUATION FOR MAJOR TECHNOLOGY BY ISSUE DATE
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 16 (CONTINUED)
- Table 17 U.S. PATENT EVALUATION FOR MAJOR INFLUENZA MARKET COMPETITORS,
BY PATENT HOLDER AND NUMBER OF PATENTS
- Figure 3 U.S. PATENT EVALUATION FOR MAJOR INFLUENZA TECHNOLOGY PATENT
HOLDERS, BY PERCENT (%)
- EMERGING AREAS OF TECHNOLOGY
- Stmicroelectronics and Veredus Laboratories
- Sanofi Pasteur and BD Biosciences
- NASAL POWDER VACCINE
INFLUENZA THERAPIES/VACCINES
- OVERVIEW
- PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS
- PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS (CONTINUED)
- Table 18 MARKETED FLU VIRUS PRODUCTS, THROUGH 2005
- Table 19 GENERIC AVAILABILITY
- Table 20 VACCINE AVERAGE PRICE PER UNIT DOSE, 2005-2006 INFLUENZA SEASON
- PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS (CONTINUED)
- PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS (CONTINUED)
- PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS (CONTINUED)
- PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS (CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
- Table 21 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS BY STATUS
- Table 21 (CONTINUED)
- Table 21 (CONTINUED)
- MARKET ANALYSIS
- Table 22 GLOBAL FORECAST FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTIC AND VACCINE REVENUES BY
MARKET, THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Figure 4 GLOBAL FORECAST FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY
REGION, 2003-2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Table 23 GLOBAL FORECAST FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY
PRODUCT TYPE, THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Figure 5 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY PRODUCT TYPE,
2003-2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Table 24 UNITS FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY PRODUCT,
2005-2006 SEASON (MILLION UNITS)
- Figure 6 SHARE OF UNITS FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY
PRODUCT, 2005-2006 SEASON (%)
- LEADING SUPPLIERS AND PARTICIPANTS
- Table 25 LEADING PARTICIPANTS FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS/VACCINES BY
PERCENT, 2005 (%)
- Figure 7 LEADING PARTICIPANTS FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS/VACCINES BY
PERCENT, 2005 (%)
INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS
- OVERVIEW
- Table 26 INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTIC TABLE
- Table 26 (CONTINUED)
- PRODUCT DESCRIPTIONS
- CONVENTIONAL LABORATORY TESTS
- RAPID TESTING
- Table 27 MARKETED PRODUCTS, THROUGH 2005
- Table 27 (CONTINUED)
- Table 28 RAPID INFLUENZA TESTS AVERAGE PRICE
- LABORATORY TEST SERVICES
- Table 29 PROVIDERS OF LABORATORY TEST SERVICES
- MARKET ANALYSIS
- Table 30 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY MARKET, THROUGH 2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Figure 8 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY MARKET, 2003-2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Table 31 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY PRODUCT TYPE, THROUGH 2010
($ MILLIONS)
- Figure 9 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY PRODUCT TYPE, 2003-2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Table 32 GLOBAL FORECAST OF INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS SERVICE REVENUES,
THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Figure 10 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS SERVICES, 2003-2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Table 33 GLOBAL FORECAST OF INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTIC PRODUCT AND SERVICES
MARKET REVENUES, THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLION)
- Figure 11 GLOBAL INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTIC PRODUCT AND SERVICES MARKET
REVENUES, 2003-2010 ($ MILLION)
- LEADING SUPPLIERS AND PARTICIPANTS
- Table 34 LEADING PARTICIPANTS FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY PERCENT, 2005
(%)
- Figure 12 LEADING PARTICIPANTS FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY PERCENT, 2005
(%)
MARKET SUMMARY
- TOTAL MARKET ANALYSIS
- Table 35 GLOBAL FORECAST OF THE INFLUENZA MARKET BY PRODUCT SEGMENT,
THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLION)
- Figure 13 GLOBAL FORECAST OF THE INFLUENZA MARKET BY PRODUCT SEGMENT,
2003-2010 ($ MILLION)
- INDUSTRY PARTICIPANTS
- Table 36 MAJOR INDUSTRY PARTICIPANTS BY PRODUCT SEGMENT
COMPANY PROFILES
- ACAMBIS
- ALPHAVAX, INC.
- ALNYLAM PHARMACEUTICALS
- APPLIED BIOSYSTEMS
- AVI BIOPHARMA
- BECTON-DICKINSON
- BIOCRYST PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
- BIOTA HOLDINGS LTD.
- CHIRON CORP.
- ENDO PHARMACEUTICALS HOLDINGS INC.
- FOREST LABORATORIES, INC.
- GLAXOSMITHKLINE PLC
- HEMISPHERX BIOPHARMA, INC.
- INVERNESS MEDICAL-BIOSTAR, INC.
- MEDIMMUNE VACCINES, INC.
- OTSUKA PHARMACEUTICAL CO., LTD.
- PATHOLOGY ASSOCIATES MEDICAL LABORATORIES (PAML)
- QUEST DIAGNOSTICS
- QUIDEL CORP.
- REMEL, INC.
- ROCHE HOLDINGS LTD.
- SANOFI PASTEUR
- SOLVAY PHARMACEUTICALS, INC.
- SYSMEX CORP.
- TEVA PHARMACEUTICALS INDUSTRIES LTD.
- VIROMED LABORATORIES, INC.
- ZYMETX, INC.
APPENDIX
- Figure 14 COMPANIES MENTIONED IN THE MARKET FOR INFLUENZA TREATMENTS AND
DIAGNOSTICS, BY TYPE (NUMBER OF COMPANIES)
- Figure 14 (CONTINUED)
- LEADING PRODUCT PROVIDERS
- LEADING PRODUCT PROVIDERS (CONTINUED)
- LEADING PRODUCT PROVIDERS (CONTINUED)
- LEADING PRODUCT PROVIDERS (CONTINUED)
- LEADING PRODUCT PROVIDERS (CONTINUED)
- LEADING PRODUCT PROVIDERS (CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND AFFILIATED COMPANIES
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND...(CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND...(CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND...(CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND...(CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND...(CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND...(CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND...(CONTINUED)
- RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT AND...(CONTINUED)
- MENTIONED UNIVERSITIES
- MENTIONED UNIVERSITIES (CONTINUED)
- MENTIONED UNIVERSITIES (CONTINUED)
- RELEVANT ASSOCIATIONS AND ORGANIZATIONS
- RELEVANT ASSOCIATIONS AND ... (CONTINUED)
- RELEVANT ASSOCIATIONS AND ... (CONTINUED)
- RELEVANT ASSOCIATIONS AND ... (CONTINUED)
- RELEVANT ASSOCIATIONS AND ... (CONTINUED)
LIST OF TABLES
- Summary Table:
- GLOBAL FORECAST OF THE INFLUENZA MARKET BY PRODUCT SEGMENT, THROUGH 2010
($ MILLION)
- Table 1 VACCINE RECOMMENDATIONS
- Table 2 WORLDWIDE INFLUENZA ACTIVITY
- Table 3 VIRAL SURVEILLANCE, PERCENTAGE OF INFLUENZA VIRUS TYPE, 2004-2005
AND 2005-2006 FLU SEASONS (%)
- Table 4 INFLUENZA RESEARCH TEAMS AND AREAS OF STUDY
- Table 5 ESTIMATED GLOBAL POPULATION BY SELECTED AGE GROUP, 2003-2010
(MILLIONS)
- Table 6 ESTIMATED WORLD POPULATION INCLUDING SOME COUNTRIES, 2003-2010
(MILLIONS)
- Table 7 WORLDWIDE VIRAL STATISTICS, 2005
- Table 8 UNITED STATES VIRAL STATISTICS, 2005
- Table 9 COUNTRIES WITH U.S. EMBARGOES FOR BIRDS
- Table 10 WHO REPORTED CASES OF AVIAN FLU IN HUMANS, MARCH 2006
- Table 11 APPROVED WHO INFLUENZA CENTERS BY REGION
- Table 12 CONFIRMED CASES OF AVIAN FLU OUTBREAKS IN ANIMALS WORLDWIDE, 2003
TO PRESENT
- Table 13 ALLOCATED FUNDS FOR INFLUENZA RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT
- Table 14 ESTIMATED INCIDENCE OF INFLUENZA IN SEVERE OUTBREAKS BASED ON
POPULATION ESTIMATES, U.S. CENSUS BUREAU INTERNATIONAL DATABASE
- Table 15 PREDICTED IMPACT ON HEALTH SERVICES FROM THE NEXT INFLUENZA
PANDEMIC IN THE TROPICS, BASED ON CDC'S FLUAID PREDICTION MODEL FOR PEAK WEEK
- Table 16 U.S. PATENT EVALUATION FOR MAJOR TECHNOLOGY BY ISSUE DATE
- Table 17 U.S. PATENT EVALUATION FOR MAJOR INFLUENZA MARKET COMPETITORS, BY
PATENT HOLDER AND NUMBER OF PATENTS
- Table 18 MARKETED FLU VIRUS PRODUCTS, THROUGH 2005
- Table 19 GENERIC AVAILABILITY
- Table 20 VACCINE AVERAGE PRICE PER UNIT DOSE, 2005-2006 INFLUENZA SEASON
- Table 21 RESEARCH AND DEVELOPMENT EFFORTS BY STATUS
- Table 22 GLOBAL FORECAST FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTIC AND VACCINE REVENUES BY
MARKET, THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Table 23 GLOBAL FORECAST FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY
PRODUCT TYPE, THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Table 24 UNITS FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY PRODUCT,
2005-2006 SEASON (MILLION UNITS)
- Table 25 LEADING PARTICIPANTS FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS/VACCINES BY
PERCENT, 2005 (%)
- Table 26 INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTIC TABLE
- Table 27 MARKETED PRODUCTS, THROUGH 2005
- Table 28 RAPID INFLUENZA TESTS AVERAGE PRICE
- Table 29 PROVIDERS OF LABORATORY TEST SERVICES
- Table 30 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY MARKET, THROUGH 2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Table 31 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY PRODUCT TYPE, THROUGH 2010
($ MILLIONS)
- Table 32 GLOBAL FORECAST OF INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS SERVICE REVENUES,
THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Table 33 GLOBAL FORECAST OF INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTIC PRODUCT AND SERVICES
MARKET REVENUES, THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLION)
- Table 34 LEADING PARTICIPANTS FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY PERCENT, 2005
(%)
- Table 35 GLOBAL FORECAST OF THE INFLUENZA MARKET BY PRODUCT SEGMENT,
THROUGH 2010 ($ MILLION)
- Table 36 MAJOR INDUSTRY PARTICIPANTS BY PRODUCT SEGMENT
LIST OF FIGURES
- Summary Figure:
- WORLDWIDE INFLUENZA MARKET ANALYSIS BY PRODUCT SEGMENT, 2003-2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Figure 1 ESTIMATED WORLD POPULATION BY SELECTED AGE GROUP, 2003-2010
(MILLIONS)
- Figure 2 ESTIMATED WORLD POPULATION BY REGION, 2003-2010 (MILLIONS)
- Figure 3 U.S. PATENT EVALUATION FOR MAJOR INFLUENZA TECHNOLOGY PATENT
HOLDERS, BY PERCENT (%)
- Figure 4 GLOBAL FORECAST FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY
REGION, 2003-2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Figure 5 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY PRODUCT TYPE,
2003-2010 ($ MILLIONS)
- Figure 6 SHARE OF UNITS FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS AND VACCINES BY
PRODUCT, 2005-2006 SEASON (%)
- Figure 7 LEADING PARTICIPANTS FOR INFLUENZA THERAPEUTICS/VACCINES BY
PERCENT, 2005 (%)
- Figure 8 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY MARKET, 2003-2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Figure 9 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY PRODUCT TYPE, 2003-2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Figure 10 REVENUES FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS SERVICES, 2003-2010 ($
MILLIONS)
- Figure 11 GLOBAL INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTIC PRODUCT AND SERVICES MARKET
REVENUES, 2003-2010 ($ MILLION)
- Figure 12 LEADING PARTICIPANTS FOR INFLUENZA DIAGNOSTICS BY PERCENT, 2005
- Figure 13 GLOBAL FORECAST OF THE INFLUENZA MARKET BY PRODUCT SEGMENT,
2003-2010 ($ MILLION)
- Figure 14 COMPANIES MENTIONED IN THE MARKET FOR INFLUENZA TREATMENTS AND
DIAGNOSTICS, BY TYPE (NUMBER OF COMPANIES)
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