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SUMMARY
Overall, the picture for this emerging 802.15.4 Wireless PAN (WPAN) technology looks quite promising. Based upon discussions with system providers, the closer silicon vendors can get to a "ZigBee in a box"solution, the greater the opportunities will be. Using an aggressive scenario, annual shipments will surpass 150 million units in 2008. Although the ZigBee specification release is expected in 4Q04, taking lessons from the rollout of other new wireless technologies, we know that these rollouts do take longer than expected, and market acceptance does not happen as quickly as many would like. Overall, positive progress is being made to get systems into the market. The year 2004 has been the year of development, or the year of silicon, while 2005 will be the year of pilots and test markets, and 2006 as the of the solution when ZigBee really flies. Although other frequencies, or channels, may open up in China and Europe, these changes do not occur very rapidly. We continue to see the lion's share of the worldwide 802.15.4 market being dominated by the 2.4GHz band; however, significant activity is occurring for 915MHz solutions, primarily in North America. An overview of the technology and markets; forecasts for 2004-2008 by application, frequency band, geographic region, external host MCU vs. single package, and aggressive and conservative scenarios of node/chipsets (units, revenue and ASP); selected players; and a company matrix are included. TABLE OF CONTENTS
- Executive Summary
- Methodology
- Comparison of Short-Distance Wireless Technologies
- IEEE 802.15.4 & ZigBee
- Characteristics
- Features
- Security
- Operating Frequency Bands & Channels
- Topology Choices & Advantages: Star, Mesh & Hybrid
- Chipset Structure & Block Diagram
- 802.15.4/Zigbee Advantages
- 802.15.4 & Zigbee Organizations
- ZigBee Test Centers
- 802.15.4b Task Group
- Half-Rate PHY Proposals
- PSSS Proposal
- Primary 802.15.4 & ZigBee Target Markets
- Residential Automation
- Commercial Building Control/Automation
- Automatic Meter Reading (AMR)
- Industrial
- Other Markets
- Medical
- Peripherals
- Automotive
- Defense & Homeland Security
- 802.15.4/Zigbee Forecasts
- Nodes/Chipsets, ASP & Revenue Forecast Conservative vs. Aggressive
- Timing
- Pricing, BOM Cost & Integration
- Margin, Margin, Where's My Margin?
- Forecast by External Host MCU vs. SoC/SiP
- Forecast by Frequency Band
- Forecast by Geographic Region
- North America
- Japan
- China
- Europe
- Forecast
- Forecast by Application
- Competitive Outlook
- ZigBee vs. UWB & Bluetooth
- Wi-Fi as an Alternative?
- Companies Involved with 802.15.4 and ZigBee
- Airbee Wireless
- Atmel
- Certicom Corp.
- Chipcon
- CompXs
- Danfoss
- Dust Networks
- Eaton
- EAZIX, Inc.
- Ember
- ENQ Semiconductor
- Figure 8 Wireless
- Freescale Semiconductor
- Helicomm
- Honeywell
- Invensys
- Leviton Manufacturing Company
- Link Plus Corp.
- Millennial Net
- Oki Semiconductor
- Philips Electronics (Lighting)
- Philips Semiconductors
- RAE Systems
- Renesas Technology
- Samsung Electronics Co., Ltd.
- ZMD AG
- Other ZigBee Alliance Members & Participants
List of Tables- Table 1. Wireless Standard Comparisons: 802.15.4, 802.15.1, 802.15.3 & 802.11b
- Table 2. IEEE 802.15.4: Range vs. Power Consumption by Topology
- Table 3. Conservative Forecast - 802.15.4 (ZigBee Or Proprietary Network Layer): Node/Chipset Units, BOM ASP & Revenue
- Table 4. Aggressive Forecast - 802.15.4 (ZigBee Or Proprietary Network Layer): 802.15.4 Node/Chipset Units, BOM ASP & Revenue
- Table 5. 802.15.4 Nodes/Chipsets (ZigBee OR Proprietary Network Layer) by External Host MCU vs. SiP/SoC
- Table 6. 802.15.4 Nodes/Chipsets by Frequency Band
- Table 7. 802.15.4 Nodes/Chipsets by Geographic Region: Based on Deployments & Sales Into These Regions
- Table 8. 802.15.4/ZigBee Nodes/Chipsets by Application
- Table 9. Matrix by Company - Semiconductor, Module, System Providers: Frequency Band Current/Expected Plans and Component Offerings
List of Figures- Figure 1. General Positioning of ZigBee, UWB, Bluetooth and 802.11x 4
- Figure 2. Relative Cost/Power Positioning of ZigBee, UWB, Bluetooth and 802.11x
- Figure 3. ZigBee Alliance, IEEE & Customer Relationship
- Figure 4. AES Security Public Key Sizes - NIST Guidelines
- Figure 5. 802.15.4 Operating Frequency Bands
- Figure 6. IEEE 802.15.4: Star Topology
- Figure 7. IEEE 802.15.4: Peer-Peer/Mesh & Cluster Tree Topologies
- Figure 8. IEEE 802.15.4: Combined/Hybrid Topology
- Figure 9. ZigBee Example Block Diagram
- Figure 10. Conservative vs. Aggressive Forecast: 802.15.4 Nodes/Chipsets
- Figure 11. Figure 8 Wireless Z-Stack Architecture
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