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SUMMARY
Summary
Great expectations certainly abound for the next step in wireless LAN
technology, the much-hyped IEEE 802.11n. People have dreamed about the kind of
raw speed it is promising, up to 600Mbps, virtually unheard of for a wireless
technology of any kind. 802.11n will be to 802.11b what a Maserati is to a
Pinto.
In-Stat expects the break-out year for 802.11n will be 2008. By mid-2008, the
standard should be formally ratified and the first stage of Wi-Fi certified
products should be rolling out, with many of the early product bugs worked out
of chipsets and end-products, and vendors working on cost and power-efficiency
instead of just frantically racing to put out products. During 2008, we expect
that the majority of chipsets shipped out, a little over 50%, will be based on
802.11n, representing 195 million 802.11n chipsets shipments for 2008.
In-Stat expects that breakout years, where 50% or more of the total WLAN chipsets will be 802.11n, will differ by segment:
- Embedded WLAN in Mobile PCs- 2008
- Enterprise APs- 2008
- Home/SOHO Wireless Routers, Gateways, Standalone APs- 2008
- External Clients- 2008
- Dual-mode Cellular/Wi-Fi Phones- 2009
- Stationary CE Devices- 2009
- Portable CE Devices- 2010
- Consumer Wi-Fi-Only Phones- beyond 2010
- Business Wi-Fi-Only Phones- beyond 2010
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Executive Summary
Methodology
Introduction
IEEE 802.11n Standard Overview
- Standard History
- 802.11n Technology Background
- MIMO
- Fat Channels
- 5GHz Spectrum
- 802.11n Mandatory and Optional Features
802.11n Chipset Components & Design
- Basic Architecture
- Design Challenges
Pre-N Products: MIMO and Smart Antenna Products
- Airgo
- Atheros' VLocity
- Metalink
- Ralink's MIMO XR
- Ruckus Wireless
Draft n Chipsets
- Atheros
- Broadcom
- Marvell
- Intel
Draft n End-Product Vendors
- Draft n Product Market Overview
- Draft n End-Product Vendors
- Belkin
- Buffalo
- D-Link
- Linksys
- Netgear
- TRENDnet
Draft n/802.11n Chipset Forecasts
- Draft n/802.11n Penetration Rates per Market Segment
- Stationary CE 802.11n Adoption Rates per Device Segment
- Portable CE 802.11n Adoption Rates per Device Segment
Total WLAN Chipset Market Forecasts by Market Segment and by Technology
- Total WLAN Chipset Forecasts
- Enterprise AP Chipset Forecasts
- WLAN Home/SOHO Wireless Routers, Gateways and AP Chipset Forecasts
- External WLAN Clients Chipset Forecasts
- Mobile PCs WLAN Chipset Forecasts
- Stationary CE WLAN Chipset Forecasts
- Portable CE WLAN Chipset Forecasts
- Dual-Mode Cellular/Wi-Fi Phone Chipset Forecasts
- Business Wi-Fi-Only Phones Chipset Forecasts
- Consumer Wi-Fi-Only Phones Chipset Forecasts
List of Tables
- Table 1. 802.11 Standards Comparison
- Table 2. Pre-n Chipset Solutions
- Table 3. Pre-n End-Products Matrix
- Table 4. Draft n Chipset Matrix
- Table 5. Draft n End-Product Matrix
- Table 6. Draft n Challenges and Opportunities for End-Product Vendors
- Table 7. 802.11n Break-Out Years per WLAN Device Segments
- Table 8. Draft n/802.11n Chipset Shipments by Device Segment (Units in K)
- Table 9. Draft n/802.11n Drivers and Impediments to Adoption- per Device
Segment
- Table 10. Stationary CE Device 802.11n Chipset Units- by Segment (Units in
K)
- Table 11. Portable CE Device 802.11n Chipsets- by Segment (Units in K)
- Table 12. Total WLAN Chipset Unit Forecast (Units in Thousands)
- Table 13. Total WLAN Chipset Revenue Forecast (US$ in Thousands)
- Table 14. Enterprise WLAN AP Chipset Unit Forecast (Units in Thousands)
- Table 15. Enterprise WLAN Aggregator Chipset Revenue Forecast (US$ in
Thousands)
- Table 16. WLAN Home/SOHO AP Chipset Unit Forecast (Units in Thousands) by
Technology
- Table 17. WLAN Home/SOHO Aggregator Chipset Revenue Forecast (US$ in
Thousands)
- Table 18. WLAN External Client Chipset Unit Forecast (Units in Thousands)
- Table 19. WLAN External Client Chipset Revenue Forecast (US$ in Thousands)
- Table 20. Embedded WLAN Clients in Mobile PCs Unit Forecast (Units in
Thousands)
- Table 21. Embedded WLAN in Mobile PCs Revenue Forecast (US$ in Thousands)
- Table 22. WLAN Chipsets in Stationary CE Device Forecast (Units in
Thousands)
- Table 23. WLAN Chipsets in Stationary CE Device Revenue Forecast (US$ in
Thousands)
- Table 24. WLAN Chipsets in Portable CE Device Forecast (Units in Thousands)
- Table 25. Portable CE Devices WLAN Chipset Revenue Forecast (US$ in
Thousands)
- Table 26. Dual-Mode Cellular/Wi-Fi Phones Chipset Unit Forecast (Units in
Thousands)
- Table 27. Dual-Mode Cellular/Wi-Fi Phones Chipset Revenue Forecast (US$ in
Thousands)
- Table 28. Business Wi-Fi-Only Handsets Chipset Unit Forecast (Units in
Thousands)
- Table 29. Business Wi-Fi-Only Handsets Chipset Revenue Forecast (US$ in
Thousands)
- Table 30. Consumer WLAN Handset Chipset Unit Forecast (Units in Thousands)
- Table 31. Consumer WLAN Handset Chipset Revenue Forecast (US$ in Thousands)
List of Figures
- Figure 1. Total WLAN Chipset Unit Shipment Breakdowns per Technology- (as
% of Total WLAN Chipset Shipments)
- Figure 2. Basic Representation of a Two-Antenna MIMO Chipset Architecture
with Two-Stream Spatial Division Multiplexing
- Figure 3. Linksys Wireless N Broadband Router
- Figure 4. Netgear's RangeMax NEXT Wireless Router
- Figure 5. D-Link RangeBooster N 650 Desktop Adapter and RangeBooster N 650
Notebook Adapter
- Figure 6. Typical AGN300 Dual-Mode Chipset Implementation
- Figure 7. Atheros' AR5005VL System Architecture
- Figure 8. Metalink's WLANPlus Solution's Basic Architecture
- Figure 9. Ralink's 2.4GHz MIMO XR RT2600 Chipset
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