| Request a sample from "The Infoshop", another service of Global Information.
|
SUMMARY
Abstract
Overview
Introduction
Retailers in the UK face huge challenges as they struggle cope with a sudden
deterioration in consumers' willingness to spend. The credit crunch, the
downturn in the housing market and the rising cost of living are having a
profound impact on consumer confidence that will require retailers to adapt
their strategies and make accurate and reliable forecasts essential.
Scope
- Forecasts for whole of UK retail for consumer spending, store sales, store
numbers, space, sales densities with summary breakdown by channel
- Market value and growth, inflation 1997-2007 with annual forecasts to 2012
for 10 retail sectors
- Specialists sales, space, like-for-like growth, sales densities and store
numbers 1997-2007 with annual forecasts to 2012 for each retail sector
- Channels of distribution analysis for 2006, 2007 and 2012 and full
discussion of issues for each retail sector
Report Highlights
Over the next five years the retail market will grow by 16.3%, taking its
value from £280.9bn to £326.6bn. Though this is a higher rate of growth than
the 15.5% rate achieved over the last five years, the market will be lifted by
inflation rather than volume growth. In real terms total retail spending
growth will be markedly slower.
2008 and 2009 will be particularly challenging years for retailers as
consumers cut back on non-essential purchases. The most significant
determinant of shopping behaviour in the short term will be sharp increases in
the cost of living, particularly from higher fuel and utility costs which are
diverting households' funds away from non-food retail.
Retail space will grow faster over the next five years, due largely to a boom
in shopping centre openings. Over the forecast period 33.9m sq ft will be
opened, a 5.8% increase, with over 8m sq ft created in 2008 alone.
Reasons to Purchase
- Plan for the future use this report to plan strategies that will help you
compete effectively against rivals and adapt to changing market conditions
- Detailed category forecasts allow you to quantify and exploit
opportunities in fast growing categories and avoid over-investment in weaker
segments.
- Evaluate your current position with regard to the market's future growth
prospects
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Table of Contents
CHAPTER 1 EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
- Key Findings
- Main Conclusions
CHAPTER 2 FORECAST SUMMARY
- Consumer Spending
- Specialists Sales
- Space
- Sales Densities
- Sectors
CHAPTER 3 UK ECONOMIC FORECASTS
- Key Messages
- Gross Domestic Product - GDP
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Earnings Growth
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Real Household Disposable Income
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Employment
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Inflation
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Exchange Rates
- How do they affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Interest Rates
- How do they affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Savings Ratio
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Consumer Debt
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Equities
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- House Price Inflation
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Housing Equity Withdrawal
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
- Housing Transactions
- How does it affect retail?
- What's happened?
- What will happen?
CHAPTER 4 UK RETAILING FORECASTS
- Key Indicators
- Retail Expenditure 1997-2012
- Sales by Location 2007-2012
- Sources of Growth 1997-2012
- Store Numbers by Location 1997-2012
- Space by Location 1997-2012
- Sales Density by Location 1997-2012
- Average Store Size 1997-2012
- Average Store Sales 1997-2012
- Online Retail Spending
CHAPTER 5 SECTOR ANALYSIS
- Introduction
- Books, News & Stationery
- Forecast Summary
- Books
- Newspapers and Magazines
- Greeting Cards and Stationery
- Channels of Distribution
- Specialists Retail Sales
- Consumer Spending
- Catalogue Retailers
- Forecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Specialists Retail Sales
- Clothing & Footwear
- Forecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Clothing Specialists Retail Sales
- Footwear Specialists Retail Sales
- Consumer Spending
- DIY & Gardening
- Forecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Specialists Retail Sales
- Consumer Spending
- Electricals
- Forecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Specialists Retail Sales
- Consumer Spending
- Food & Grocery
- Forecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Specialists Retail Sales
- Consumer Spending
- Furniture & Floorcoverings
- Forecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Specialists Retail Sales
- Consumer Spending
- Health & Beauty
- Forecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Specialists Retail Sales
- Consumer Spending
- Homewares
- orecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Consumer Spending
- Music & Video
- Music & Video
- Forecast Summary
- Channels of Distribution
- Channels of Distribution
- Specialists Retail Sales
- Consumer Spending
CHAPTER 6 MARKET DEFINITIONS
- Books, News & Stationery
- Catalogue Retailers
- Clothing & Footwear
- DIY & Gardening
- Electricals
- Food & Grocery
- Furniture & Floorcoverings
- Health & Beauty
- Homewares
- Music & Video
CHAPTER 7 GLOSSARY
- Terminology
- Location Definitions
- Town Centre
- Out-of-town
- Neighbourhood
- Non-store Retail
- Forecasting Methodology
- Abbreviations
List of Tables
- Table 1: Sector forecast summaries 2007-2012
- Table 2: Economic drivers for retail 2008
- Table 3: Measures of inflation 2008
- Table 4: UK retailing forecasts summary 2007-2012
- Table 5: Forecast chronology 2008-2012
- Table 6: Total consumer retail expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 7: Sales by location 1997-2012
- Table 8: Total UK physical store sales & selling space 1997-2012
- Table 9: Sources of sales growth for physical stores 1997-2012
- Table 10: Store numbers 1997-2012
- Table 11: Space by location 1997-2012
- Table 12: Sales densities by location at current prices 1997-2012
- Table 13: Average store size by location 1997-2012
- Table 14: Average sales per store by location at current prices 1997-2012
- Table 15: Sector analysis features 1997-2012
- Table 16: Books, news & stationery key numbers 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2012
- Table 17: Books, news & stationery key growth rates 1997-02, 2002-07 and 2007-12
- Table 18: Books, news & stationery specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 19: Sources of growth for books, news & stationery specialists 1997-2012
- Table 20: Total books, news & stationery expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 21: Books, news & stationery expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 22: Catalogue retailers summary 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2012
- Table 23: Catalogue retailers sales 1997-2012
- Table 24: Clothing & footwear expenditure summary 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 25: Clothing summary 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 26: Footwear summary 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 27: Clothing specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 28: Sources of growth for clothing specialists 1997-2012
- Table 29: Footwear specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 30: Sources of growth for footwear specialists 1997-2012
- Table 31: Total clothing & footwear expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 32: Clothing & footwear expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 33: DIY & gardening expenditure summary 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2012
- Table 34: DIY specialists summary 2002, 2007 and 2012
- Table 35: DIY specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 36: Sources of growth for UK DIY specialists 1997-2012
- Table 37: Total DIY & gardening expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 38: DIY expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 39: Gardening expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 40: Electricals expenditure summary 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 41: Electricals specialists summary 2002, 2007 and 2012
- Table 42: Electricals specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 43: Sources of growth for UK electricals specialists 1997-2012
- Table 44: Total electricals expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 45: Brown goods expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 46: White goods expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 47: Grey goods expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 48: Food & grocery key numbers 1997, 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 49: All food & grocery specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 50: Sources of growth for UK food & grocery retailers 1997-2012
- Table 51: Total food & grocery consumer expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 52: Food expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 53: Alcoholic drinks & soft drinks expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 54: Tobacco & non-durable household goods expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 55: Furniture & floorcoverings expenditure summary 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2012e
- Table 56: Furniture & floorcoverings specialists summaries 2002, 2007 and 2012e
- Table 57: Furniture & floorcoverings specialists sales 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Table 58: Sources of growth for UK furniture & floorcoverings specialists 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Table 59: Total furniture & floorcoverings expenditure 1997-2012e
- Table 60: Furniture expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 61: Floorcoverings expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 62: Health & beauty summary data - expenditure 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 63: Health & beauty summary data - specialists sales, space and stores 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Table 64: All sales through health & beauty specialists 1997-2012
- Table 65: Sources of growth for health & beauty specialists 1997-2012
- Table 66: Total health & beauty expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 67: Health & beauty category analysis 2007-2012
- Table 68: Homewares expenditure summary 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2012e
- Table 69: Total homewares expenditure 1997-2012e
- Table 70: Homewares expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 71: Music & video key numbers 1997, 2002, 2007 and 2012
- Table 72: Music & video key growth rates 1997-02, 2002-07 and 2007-12
- Table 73: Music & video specialists sales 1997-2012
- Table 74: Sources of growth for music & video specialists 1997-2012
- Table 75: Total music & video expenditure 1997-2012
- Table 76: Music & video expenditure analysis 2007-2012
- Table 77: Books, news & stationery market definition 2008
- Table 78: Catalogue retailers market definition 2008
- Table 79: Clothing & footwear market definition 2008
- Table 80: DIY & gardening market definition 2008
- Table 81: Electricals market definition 2008
- Table 82: Food & grocery market definition 2008
- Table 83: Furniture & floorcoverings market definition 2008
- Table 84: Health & beauty market definition 2008
- Table 85: Homewares market definition 2008
- Table 86: Music & video market definition 2008
List of Figures
- Figure 1: Consumer expenditure growth 2002-2007 and 2007-2012
- Figure 2: Specialists sales growth 2002-2007 and 2007-2012
- Figure 3: Specialists space growth 2002-2007 and 2007-2012
- Figure 4: Sales density growth (current prices) 2002-2007 and 2007-2012
- Figure 5: Real gross domestic product (GDP) at constant (2003) prices 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 6: Inflation vs average earnings growth 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 7: Tax & Prices vs Average Earnings 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 8: Real household disposable income at constant (2003) prices 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 9: UK employment 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 10: UK unemployment 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 11: Inflation rates Y-o-Y 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 12: Sterling, dollar and euro exchange rates 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 13: UK average base rates 1997-2007 and forecast by quarter for 2008
- Figure 14: UK average base rates 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 15: Savings ratio 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 16: Growth in consumer debt 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 17: FTSE 100 Index 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 18: UK house price inflation 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 19: Housing Equity Withdrawal (England & Wales) 1996-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 20: Housing transactions (England & Wales) 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 21: Retail spending value, volume and inflation/deflation trends 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 22: Retail spending as percentage of total consumer spending 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 23: Consumer, retail and non-retail spending trends % 1997-2007 and forecast to 2012
- Figure 24: Retail sales by location 2007 and 2012
- Figure 25: Share of turnover by location 1997, 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 26: % share of store numbers by location 1997, 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 27: % share of space by location 1997, 2002, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 28: Online retail spending 1997-2012
- Figure 29: Books, news & stationery channels of distribution 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 30: Catalogue retailers channels of distribution 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 31: Forecast changes in shares of major channels in the catalogue retailing market 2012 on 2007
- Figure 32: Clothing & footwear channels of distribution 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 33: Changes in shares of clothing & footwear market 2012 on 2007
- Figure 34: DIY & gardening channels of distribution 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 35: Changes in shares of major channels in the DIY & gardening market 2012 on 2007
- Figure 36: Electricals channels of distribution 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 37: Forecast changes in shares of major channels in the electricals market 2012 on 2007
- Figure 38: Food & grocery category growth prospects 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 39: Food & grocery channels of distribution 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 40: Channels of distribution - furniture 2006, 2007 & 2012e
- Figure 41: Changes in shares of major channels in the furniture market 2012e on 2007
- Figure 42: Channels of distribution - floorcoverings 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 43: Changes in shares of major channels in the floorcoverings market 2012e on 2007
- Figure 44: Health & beauty channels of distribution 2006, 2007 and 2012e
- Figure 45: Changes in shares of health & beauty market 2012e on 2007
- Figure 46: Homewares channels of distribution 2006, 2007 and 2012
- Figure 47: Forecast changes in shares of homewares market major channels 2012e on 2007
- Figure 48: Music & video channels of distribution 2006, 2007 & 2012
- Figure 49: Changes in shares of major channels in the music & video market 2012 on 2007
- Figure 50: Verdict forecasting methodology 2008
|
