Cargo Screening Market Report - 2003-2010

SUMMARY

One of the most sensitive and least covered areas of air & land cargo security is analyzed; technology and procedural loopholes are pointed out and solutions are offered both with today's and tomorrow's technologies. The report analyzes the industry's drivers and inhibitors, demand and supply, installed base, and sales figures. It presents a detailed product/technology and pricing outlook, examines personnel considerations, infrastructure, analyzes cost-performance, cost of transaction and maintenance, and forecasts business and technology opportunities.

Capacity On Hold

Currently, less than 1% of shipped cargo is screened worldwide, and even that little for only a few of the identified threats (explosives, weapons, biological, chemical and radiological/nuclear). Terrorism threats to disrupt western economies, and regulatory changes driven by the U.S., specifying requirements for cargo shipped into the U.S., are expected to bring to dramatic changes in this industry

The Knowledge to Make the Right Decisions

A year research by Homeland Security Research experts and analysts, augmented by hundreds of in depth interviews, generated a unique report that is a must for every decision maker in the Homeland Security Industry.

The report analyzes the industry's drivers and inhibitors, demand and supply, installed base, and sales figures, presents a detailed product/technology and pricing outlook, examines personnel considerations, factors the infrastructure side of the business into the equation and provides decision makers with a comprehensive economic picture including cost-performance analysis, cost of transaction and cost of maintenance. The report than goes beyond the traditional deliverables and equips the reader with a detailed and reasoned forecast of business and technology opportunities and challenges.

Sample Report Findings

• The 10 companies currently active in the field of cargo inspection will have to redesign their systems to meet the post 9/11 threats of WMD.
• Just the airline sector handles more than 60 billion tons of cargo per year, growing 9% per year.
• Total cost of added security for airline cargo alone is forecasted to surpass $2 billion in 2006.
• Present airline insurance costs are $6 billion/year, six times higher than their pre 9/11 levels. A single cargo terror event will drive these costs even higher (source: IATA)

TABLE OF CONTENTS

1. SCOPE

1.1 BASIC ASSUMPTIONS

1.1.1. Motivation

1.1.2. Why screen for threats?

1.1.3. Possible Scenario Assumptions

1.1.4. Additional Assumptions

1.2. METHODOLOGY

1.2.1. Motivation

1.2.2. Research Methods

1.2.3. Report Structure

1.2.4. Readership

2. EXECUTIVE SUMMARY

2.1. CARGO SCREENING

2.2. PRIORITIZING TARGETS

2.3. MAIN CONCLUSIONS

3. THREATS AND TARGETS

3.1. CARGO SCREENING TREAT MITIGATION STATUS

4. LEGAL ISSUES

4.1. RELEVANT LEGISLATION

4.1.1. International/European Legislation

4.1.2. U.S Legislation

4.2. LEGAL LIABILITY ISSUES

5. INDUSTRY DRIVERS

5.1. CARGO SCREENING MARKET DRIVERS

6. INDUSTRY INHIBITORS

6.1. CARGO SCREENING MARKET INHIBITORS

7. PRESENT TECHNOLOGIES

7.1. OVERVIEW

7.2. PRESENT TECHNOLOGIES STATUS AND WORLDWIDE DEPLOYMENT

8. MARKET ANALYSIS - 2002-2010

8.1. DEMAND AND SUPPLY ANALYSIS

8.1.1. Cargo Screening Market

8.2. MARKET DEMAND - 2002-2010

8.2.1. Cargo Screening - Total Number of Transactions

8.2.2. Worldwide Transaction Capacity - Evolution 2002-2010 By Territory, By Sector, By Technology

8.2.3. Cost of Transaction

8.3. INSTALLED BASE 2002-2010

8.3.1. Installed Base - Cargo Bulk Screening Systems - 2002-2010

8.3.2. Installed Base - Trace-Detection Screening Systems - 2002-2010

8.4. SALES 2002-2010

8.4.1. Sales - Cargo Bulk Screening Systems - 2002-2010

8.4.2. Sales - Cargo Trace-Detection Screening Systems - 2002-2010

8.5. MARKET SEGMENTATION - VENDORS

9. TECHNOLOGY OUTLOOK - 2003-2010

9.1. OVERVIEW - EVOLVING TECHNOLOGIES

9.1.1. Techno-Tactical Analysis

9.1.2. Basic Assumptions and Guidelines

9.1.3. Main Conclusions

9.1.4. Cargo Screening - Technology Evolution Timeline

9.2. EVOLVING TECHNOLOGIES

9.2.1. Emerging Technologies - Review Conclusions

9.2.2. Cargo "Fleet" Management Systems

9.3. BULK SCREENING - EVOLVING TECHNOLOGIES REVIEW

9.3.1. Advanced Coherent X-Ray Scatter

9.3.2. Advanced X-ray

9.3.3. Neutron Activation

9.3.4. Novel Technologies

9.3.5. Nuclear Threat Detection

9.3.6. Fused Technologies

9.4. TRACE DETECTION - EVOLVING TECHNOLOGIES REVIEW

9.5. COMPARISON OF NEXT GENERATION CARGO SCREENING TECHNOLOGIES

10. PRICING OUTLOOK - 2003-2010

10.1. OVERVIEW

10.2. PRICE FORECAST

10.3. BULK CARGO SCREENING 2003-2010 PRICING OUTLOOK

10.3.1. Advanced X-ray

10.3.2. Neutron Activation

10.3.3. Novel Technologies

10.3.4. Nuclear Threat Detection

10.3.5. Fused Technologies

10.4. NEXT GENERATION OF FUSED TECHNOLOGY MOST THREATS SYSTEMS

11. ECONOMIC CONSIDERATIONS

11.1. OVERVIEW

11.2. Who is Going To "Foot the Bill"?

11.3. COST PERFORMANCE ANALYSIS

11.4. COST OF TRANSACTION ANALYSIS

11.5. COST OF MAINTENANCE

12. INFRASTRUCTURE BUSINESS

12.1. CARGO SCREENING SYSTEMS OUTLAY

13. PERSONNEL CONSIDERATIONS

13.1. BACKGROUND - PERSONNEL

13.2. PERSONNEL OUTLAY - 2002-2010

13.3. PERSONNEL TRAINING

14. SERVICE BUSINESS

15. PATENT REVIEW

15.1. SCOPE

15.2. SCATTER & COHERENT X-RAY PATENTS REVIEW

15.3. X-RAY PATENTS REVIEW

15.4. TRACE DETECTION PATENTS REVIEW

15.5. CARGO INSPECTION INFRASTRUCTURE PATENT REVIEW

15.6. CARGO FLEET MANAGEMENT

15.7. CARGO NEUTRON ACTIVATION

16. BUSINESS & TECHNOLOGICAL OPPORTUNITIES AND CHALLENGES

16.1. INTRODUCTION

16.2. REMOTE TELE-INTERPRETATION OF CARGO SCREENING

16.3. HIGH-RELIABILITY, MULTI-THREAT CARGO SCREENING SYSTEMS

16.4. MULTI-THREAT TRACE DETECTOR

16.5. THIRD-PARTY SERVICE

16.6. CARGO EXPLOSIVES/ DRUGS/ BIO/ CHEMICAL TRACE EXTRACTION

16.7. NUCLEAR DETECTION

16.8. CARGO FLEET MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS

16.9. PRE SCREENING SYSTEMS

List Of Figures

• Figure 1 - Scope of Report and Corresponding Detection Technologies
• Figure 2 - Worldwide 2002-2010 annual Cargo Screening outlay [$M] By Expenditure
• Figure 3 - Worldwide Cargo Screening Transaction Capacity USA [Billions of Transactions]
• Figure 4 - Cargo Screening - Annual Outlay Conclusions
• Figure 5 - Cargo Threat Mitigation Status
• Figure 7 - Worldwide Transaction Demand - Evolution 2002-2010 By Sector [Billions of Transactions/Year]
• Figure 8 - Cargo Screening - Number of Transactions 2002-2010 By Territory Sector [Billions of Transactions/Year]
• Figure 9 - R.O.W - Cargo Screening Transaction Capacity [Billions of Transactions]
• Figure 10 - Worldwide Installed Base [units] Cargo, Bulk Screening Systems 2002-2010 By Sector
• Figure 11 - Europe - Installed Base [units] Cargo, Bulk Screening Systems 2002- 2010 By Sector
• Figure 12 - Installed Base - Trace-Detection Screening Systems 2002-2010 By Sector and Territory
• Figure 13 - Worldwide Cargo screening Installed Base [units] Trace Detectors 2002-2010
• Figure 14 - Worldwide Sales [units] Cargo, Bulk Screening Systems 2002-2010 By Territory
• Figure 15 - Worldwide Sales [$M] Cargo, Bulk Screening Systems 2002-2010 By Territory
• Figure 16 - Worldwide Sales Cargo, Bulk Screening Systems 2002 and 2010 [$M]
• Figure 17 - Worldwide Cargo Screening Sales Base [units] Trace Detectors 2002-2010 By Sector
• Figure 18 - Sales [$M] - Cargo Trace Detection Screening Systems - 2002-2010
• Figure 19 - Worldwide Cargo Screening Sales [$M] Trace Detectors 2002-2010 By Territory
• Figure 20 - Worldwide 2002-2010 Annual Cargo Screening Outlay [$M] By Type of Expenditure
• Figure 21 - Europe - 2002-2010 Annual Cargo Screening Outlay [$M] By Type of Expenditure
• Figure 22 - Europe - Screening Transaction Capacity [Billions of Transactions]
• Figure 23 - Rest of World 2002-2010 Annual Cargo Screening Outlay [$M] By Expenditure
• Figure 24 - Remote Tele-Screening Threat Analysis Center& Integrated Screening-Threat Evaluation Infrastructure
• Figure 25 - Cargo Screening - Technology Evolution Timeline
• Figure 26 - Cargo Screening with Fused Technologies, Including Fast Neutron Activation
• Figure 27 - X-Ray Fused Technologies Cargo Screening
• Figure 28 ·Cargo Screening ?heckpoint·of the Future
• Figure 29 ·Cargo Fleet Management
• Figure 30 - Infrastructure Business Outlook 2002-2010 (By Territory)
• Figure 31 - US Seaports Personnel Outlay 2002-2010 [$M]
• Figure 31 - US Personnel Outlay 2002-2010

List Of Tables

• Table 1 - Possible Scale of Terrorist Attack
• Table 2 - Economic Disruption as a Result of Terrorism
• Table 3 - Worldwide 2002-2010 Annual Cargo Screening Outlay [$M] By Expenditure
• Table 4 - USA 2002-2010 Annual Cargo Screening Outlay [$M] By Expenditure
• Table 5 - Cargo Terrorism - Potential Targets
• Table 6 - Cargo Screening Technologies Pros & Cons
• Table 7 ·Cargo Fleet Management Systems Pros & Cons
• Table 8 - Cargo Screening - Total Number of Transactions 2002-2010 By Territory Sector [Billions of Transactions/Year]
• Table 9 - Cost of Transaction - 2002-2010
• Table 10 - Installed Base - Cargo Bulk Screening Systems - 2002-2010 By Sector and Territory
• Table 11 - Installed Base - Trace Detection Screening Systems 2002-2010 By Sector and Territory
• Table 12 - Sales [Units] - Cargo Bulk Screening Systems - 2002-2010
• Table 13 - Sales [$M] - Cargo Bulk Screening Systems - 2002-2010
• Table 14 - Sales [Units] - Cargo Trace Detection Screening Systems - 2002-2010
• Table 15 - Sales [$M] - Cargo Trace Detection Screening Systems - 2002-2010
• Table 16 - Worldwide 2002-2010 Annual Cargo Screening Outlay [$M] By Type of Expenditure
• Table 17 - Europe - 2002-2010 Annual Cargo Screening Outlay [$M] By Type of Expenditure
• Table 18 - Rest of World 2002-2010 Annual Cargo Screening Outlay [$M] By Expenditure
• Table 19 - Hand-Carried Cargo Threat Detection Equipment - Vendor/Product Quick Reference Table
• Table 20 - Evolving Requirements of Cargo Screening Market
• Table 21 - Standalone and Integrated, Fused Technologies Comparison
• Table 22 - Bulk Screening Technologies Review
• Table 23 - Next Generation Technologies Pros & Cons
• Table 24 - Pricing Trends 2003-2010 of Bulk Cargo Screening Systems
• Table 25- Pricing in the 2002 and 2010 Period [$K]
• Table 26 - Infrastructure Business Outlook 2002-2010 (By Sector)
• Table 27 - Infrastructure Business Outlook 2002-2010 (By Territory)
• Table 28 - Screening Personnel Average Wages 2002 US and Europe
• Table 29 - Personnel Outlay 2002-2010 [$M] By Sector
• Table 30 -Personnel Outlay 2002-2010 [$M] By Territory
• Table 31 - Cargo Screening Service Business Outlook - 2002-2010 [$M] ByTerritory
• Table 32 - Cargo Screening Service Business Outlook - 2002-2010 [$M] BySector