Worldwide Cable Modem Services 2004-2008 Forecast

SUMMARY

This IDC study analyzes and forecasts the cable modem services market, segmented by major geographic region. The purpose of this study is to identify and quantify the market opportunity within each major geographic region and to recommend strategies for operators to take advantage of these opportunities.

The analysis in this study includes the following:

• Recent trends in the cable modem services market in the three major regions covered: the United States, Western Europe, and Asia/Pacific (including Japan)
• Market share for the top U.S. cable operators for 1Q04
• Forecasts of worldwide cable modem services subscriptions and revenue for 2003-2008, as well as forecasts of the four main geographic regions -- the United States, Western Europe, Asia/Pacific, and the rest of the world (ROW) -- for 2003-2008
• Market characteristics and guidance for operators and new entrants to leverage the growth opportunities in the coming five-year period

"Strong demand for broadband access, coupled with adoption of other advanced service offerings, including cable telephony, video on demand, and digital cable TV services, will continue to drive cable modem services growth. Still, fierce competition from other broadband technologies, namely DSL and metro Ethernet Internet access, as well as the lack of cable TV infrastructure in many countries will result in cable modems remaining a niche broadband technology worldwide. By the end of the forecast period, cable modems will account for only one-fifth of worldwide installed broadband connections and will generate $26 billion in services revenue." -- Amy Harris, IDC program manager, Broadband Markets and Technologies

TABLE OF CONTENTS

IDC Opinion

In This Study

Methodology

Situation Overview

Figure: Worldwide Cable Modem Subscriber Share by Region, 2003

Figure: Worldwide Cable Modem Services Revenue Share by Region, 2003

Market Update

• United States
• U.S. Cable Modem Services Market Share, 1Q04
• Table: U.S. Cable Modem Subscriptions by Operator, 1Q04 and 1Q03 (000)
• Figure: U.S. Cable Modem Subscriber Share by Operator, 1Q04
• Market Developments
• Western Europe
• Asia/Pacific

Future Outlook

Forecast and Assumptions

• Worldwide Services Subscriptions
• Table: Worldwide Cable Modem Service Subscriptions by Region, 2003-2008 (000)
• Worldwide Services Revenue
• Table: Worldwide Cable Modem Services Revenue by Region, 2003-2008 ($M)
• Worldwide Residential and Business Markets
• Table: Worldwide Online Cable Modem Households, 2003-2008 (M)
• Figure: Worldwide Residential and Business Cable Modem Services Revenue, 2003-2008
• U.S. End-User Segmentation
• Table: U.S. Cable Modem Services Subscriptions and Revenue by End-User Segment, 2003-2008
• Table: Key Forecast Assumptions for the Worldwide Cable Modem Services Market, 2004-2008

Essential Guidance

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Related Research

Definitions

Synopsis