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SUMMARY
This authoritative study provides a detailed analysis of the evolving market
opportunity for fixed WiMAX and the application of backhaul and last mile
broadband wireless access. This report has 225 pages considering the next five
years and is packed with market opportunities, forecasts and technology
comparisons. With extensive primary and secondary research supporting in-depth
quantitative forecasts, this report covers the backhaul equipment market,
subscriber numbers, base station and CPE equipment, business and residential
adoption, and voice and data subscribers.
Extensive Forecasts:
Extensive Forecasts Backhaul - cellular base stations/with WiMAX links, value
of WiMAX backhaul market for cellular base stations, WiFi hotsopts, WiFi mesh;
Fixed WiMAX subscriber - scenarios (optimistic/conservative/ moderate
potentials), mobile WiMAX effect (post/shift fixed subscribers); Fixed WiMAX
equipment - base stations (number & value of fixed), CPE installed base
(units); Voice/data services - fixed data market, fixed wireless voice, fixed
voice subscribers (by data/voice); Business/residential adoption.
Key Interviews:
Key Interviews Unique insight into the minds of players involved in fixed
WiMAX, including Alvarion, Aperto, Telabria & Towerstream.
WiMAX Security & Value Chain Analysis:
WiMAX Security & Value Chain Analysis Silicon vendors; Equipment
manufacturers; Network operators/service providers.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
Glossary
Executive Summary
- Who Should Read This Report?
- Fixed WiMAX (802.16d-2004)
- Difference between Fixed WiMAX and Other Broadband Access Technologies
- Table ES-1: Comparison of Fixed WiMAX and 802.11
- Fixed WiMAX Applications: Backhaul
- Technical Comparisons
- Demand Drivers
- Demand Suppressants
- Fixed WiMAX Applications: Last Mile Wireless Broadband
- The Opportunity
- Table ES-2: The Old and the New Broadband Wireless Initiatives
- Proprietary Systems; High cost
- Standard driven, industry consensus, interoperable equipment
- Truckroll Installation
- Self-install, auto provisioning
- Unestablished market, technology first-market later
- Established demand (WiFi), user-pull market
- Primarily telco driven market
- IT-driven market
- Demand Drivers
- Demand Suppressants
- Forecasts
- Methodology
- Gompertz Curve
- Fisher Pry Model
- Backhaul
- Figure ES-1: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station
($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
- Figure ES-2: Comparison between Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi
Hotspots and Mesh Networks ($m) - Regional Forecasts 2006-2011
- Figure ES-3: Total Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market (Cellular+ Hotspot +
Mesh) ($m) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011 Last Mile Broadband Wireless
- Figure ES-4: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) Global Forecasts
(Post Shift) 2006 - 2011
- Figure ES-5: Fixed WiMAX Subscribers That Will Transition to Mobile
WiMAX ('000) - Global Forecast 2006-2012
- Figure ES-6: Value of Fixed WiMAX Equipment (Base Station + CPE)
Market by Developed and Developing World ($m) - Global Forecast 2006-2011
- Figure ES-7: Value of Fixed WiMAX Services Market ($m) - Global
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Comparison of Fixed and Mobile WiMAX Subscribers
- Figure ES-8: Fixed & Mobile WiMAX Subscribers ('000) - Global
Forecast 2006-2012
- Value Chain Analysis
- Silicon Vendors
- Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs/ODMs)
- Network Operators/Service Providers (NO/SP)
1. Fixed WiMAX - The Technology
- 1.1What is WiMAX?
- Figure 1-1: WiMAX Timeline
- 1.1.1 OFDM
- Figure 1-2: OFDM Spectrum
- 1.2 Fixed WiMAX (802.16-2004)
- 1.3 Competing Broadband Access Technologies
- 1.3.1 ADSL
- i. Comparison of ADSL with Fixed WiMAX
- 1.3.2 WiFi
- Table 1-1: List of WiFi Standards
- i. QoS in WiFi
- ii. Differences between Fixed WiMAX and WiFi
- Table 1-2: Comparison of Fixed WiMAX and 802.11
- 1.3.3 Mesh Networking
- Figure 1-3: WiFi Mesh Network
- i. WiFi Mesh and Fixed WiMAX
- 1.3.4 Satellite
- i. Satellite and Fixed WiMAX
2. WiMAX Spectrum
- 2.1 WiMAX Frequencies
- 2.1.1 Licensed Frequencies
- 2.1.2 Unlicensed Frequencies
- 2.2 Duplexing Techniques
- 2.2.1 Frequency Division Duplexing (FDD)
- Figure 2.1: Frequency Division Duplexing
- 2.2.2 Time Division Duplexing (TDD)
- Figure 2-2: Time Division Duplexing
- 2.3 WiMAX Forum
- 2.3.1 Working Groups
- i. Marketing Working Group
- ii. Service Provider Working Group
- iii. Regulatory Working group
- iv. Technical Working Group
- v. Networking Working Group
- vi. Applications Group
- vii. Certification Group
- 2.3.2 WiMAX Certification
- i. Development of Test Scripts and Validation
- ii. Lab Preparation
- iii. Validation of Test Scripts
- iv. Certification Testing
- a. Conformance Testing
- b. Interoperability Testing
- 2.3.3 WiMAX Forum View
- i. Fixed WiMAX
- ii. Mobile WiMAX
3. Fixed WiMAX Applications - Backhaul
- 3.1 What is Backhaul?
- Figure 3-1: Typical Backhaul Network
- 3.2 Backhaul Technologies
- Figure 3-2: Fibre Space Optics (FSO)
- 3.2.1 Wired Backhaul
- i. ADSL
- ii. VDSL
- iii. Leased Line
- 3.2.2 Wireless Backhaul
- Figure 3-3: Wireless Backhaul
- i. Satellite Backhaul
- ii. Microwave Backhaul
- Figure 3-4: Microwave Backhaul in a Cellular Base Station
- iii. Wireless Backhaul - Topologies
- a. Point to Point (PTP) Backhaul
- Figure 3-5: Point to Point Backhaul
- b. Point to Multipoint (PMP) Backhaul
- Figure 3-6: Point to Multipoint Network Topology
- c. Mesh Backhaul
- Figure 3-7: Wireless Mesh Network
- - Unconstrained Mesh
- - Constrained Mesh
- Figure 3-8: Backhaul Links for a WiFi Mesh Network
- 3.3 The WiMAX Backhaul Opportunity
- 3.3.1 WiMAX Backhaul - Technical Advantages
- i. Spectral Efficiency
- ii. NLOS (None Line of Sight)
- Figure 3-9: The NLOS Advantage
- iii. Range
- iv. Throughput
- Table 3-1: Fixed WiMAX Throughputs
- 3.3.2 Standardised Backhaul vs Proprietary Backhaul
- 3.3.3 The Cost Advantage
- Figure 3-10: Price Comparison of PMP and PTP Solutions
- Table 3-2: Cost Comparisons of Backhaul Solutions (Euros)
- i. The Akshaya Project
- Figure 3-11: Akshaya Project Access/Backhaul Cost Comparisons
- 3.3.4 Demand Drivers for WiMAX Backhaul
- i. Number of Cellular Subscribers
- Figure 3-12: Global Cellular Subscribers - Developed and Developing
World 2001-2010
- ii. WLAN Usage
- Figure 3-13: Municipal Wireless Mesh Network in South Texas, USA
- iii. Demand for Bandwidth Hungry Applications
- iv. Need for Standards Based Backhaul Technology
- 3.3.5 Demand Suppressants for WiMAX Backhaul
- i. Large Installed Base of Wired Backhaul Solutions
- ii. Delay in WiMAX Certified Equipment
- iii. Spectrum Issues in Certain Regions
- iv. Legacy Backhaul Solutions
- 3.3.6 Rural vs Metro Backhaul
- Table 3-3: Rural vs Suburban vs Urban areas
- 3.4 WiMAX Backhaul for Cellular Networks
- 3.4.1 Business Case
- Table 3-4: Assumptions for WiMAX Cellular Backhaul Cost Model
- Table 3-5: Capex and Opex Costs for WiMAX Cellular Backhaul
- i. Business Case - I: Standalone WiMAX Backhaul
- Table 3-6: ROI for Standalone WiMAX Backhaul Business Case
- ii. Business Case II: WiMAX Backhaul + Broadband Wireless Access
- Table 3-7: ROI for the Backhaul + Broadband Wireless Access Case
- iii. Business Case III: WiMAX Backhaul + WiMAX Mobile Service
- Table 3-8: ROI for Backhaul + BWA + WiMAX Mobile
- 3.5 WiMAX Backhaul for WLANs
- Figure 3-14: WiMAX as a Backhaul for WLANs
- 3.5.1 Tropos Networks
- Figure 3-15: Phase 1 and Phase 2 of Tropos WiMAX Backhaul Solution
- Figure 3-16: Phase 3 of the Tropos WiMAX Backhaul Solution
- Figure 3-17: Throughput vs Number of Hops in a WiFi Mesh Network
4. Applications: Fixed Wireless Broadband
- 4.1 The Broadband Market
- 4.1.1 Growth in Subscriber Demand
- Table 4-1: Broadband Applications
- Figure 4-1: Broadband Subscription by Technology
- 4.1.2 Developing vs Developed Regions
- Figure 4-2: Incremental Growth of Broadband Lines
- Figure 4-3: Top 10 Broadband Countries by Percentage Growth
- 4.2 Fixed Wireless - The Future of 'Last Mile' Broadband Access
- 4.2.1 The Last Mile Cost Advantage for New Installations
- Table 4-2: Cost of Laying Fibre
- 4.2.2 Time to Market
- 4.2.3 WiFi Growth - An Indicator of Fixed WiMAX Demand on the Access End
- i. The Home Wireless Access Market
- Figure 4-4: WiFi Shipments
- ii. The Hotspot Market
- Figure 4-5: WiFi Hotspot Forecasts 2006-2011 by Region
- Table 4-3: WiFi Hotspot Forecasts 2006-2011by Regional
- 4.2.4 Cost per bit - Wired vs Wireless Broadband Comparisons
- Table 4-4: Cost per bit of Wired and Wireless Broadband Technologies
5. Fixed Wireless Broadband Market Characteristics
- Table 5-1: The Old and the New Broadband Wireless Initiatives
- Proprietary Systems; High cost
- Standard driven, industry consensus, interoperable equipment
- Truckroll Installation
- Self-install, auto provisioning
- Unestablished market, technology first-market later
- Established demand (WiFi), user-pull market
- Primarily telco driven market
- IT-driven market
- 5.1 Demand Drivers for Fixed WiMAX Broadband
- 5.1.1 Standardisation and Certification of Fixed WiMAX Equipment
- Table 5-2: Industry Equipment Timelines for Fixed WiMAX
- 5.1.2 Penetration of Broadband Internet in Developing Countries
- Figure 5-1: Main Barriers to Wired Broadband Deployment in Developing
Regions
- Figure 5-2: The Digital Divide in Terms of Internet Users
- 5.1.3 'White spots' in Developed Countries
- Figure 5-3: UK Broadband Penetration by Constituency
- 5.1.4 Low Cost, Fast Deployment Internet Service
- Table 5-3: Comparisons of Cost and Deployment Time Fixed WiMAX and DSL
for Businesses
- 5.1.5 Worldwide Fixed WiMAX Trials
- 5.1.6 Incumbent ISPs View of Fixed WiMAX
- 5.1.7 Silicon Vendor Presence
- i. Sequans Communications
- 5.2 Demand Suppressants for Fixed WiMAX broadband
- 5.2.1 Incompatibility of Fixed WiMAX with Mobile WiMAX
- 5.2.2 Frequency Harmonisation
- 5.2.3 Operators Avoiding the First Release of WiMAX
- i. WiMAX Wary: Leap Broadband (Ireland)
- 5.3 Business and Residential Customers
- Table 5-4: Difference Between Residential and SME Customers for Fixed
WiMAX
- Figure 5-4: Typical Revenue Earned from Residential and SME Customers
for a Fixed WiMAX Service
- 5.4 Customer Demographics: Rural and Urban
- Table 5-5: WiMAX Retail Markets
- Figure 5-5: Village Kiosk in India with High Speed Internet
- Figure 5-6: Telabria's Skylink Broadband Network Backbone in South East
UK
- Table 5-6: PC Shipment Growth in Developing Regions
- Table 5-7: Urban and Rural Fixed WiMAX market characteristics
- 3.5 GHz licensed spectrum
- 5.8 GHz unlicensed spectrum
- Average spacing between base stations1-3 km
- Average spacing between base stations 5-10 km
- 3-channel base station
- 4-6 channel base stations
- CPE cost borne by subscriber
- CPE subsidised by operator
- Higher ARPU; Higher Capex
- Lower ARPU; Lower Capex
- Average no. of subscribers per base station is 500-1000
- Average no. of subscribers per base station is 1000-2000
- Figure 5-7: NPV Comparisons for Rural and Urban markets
- 5.5 Customer Services: Data and Voice
- Figure 5-8: Growth of VoIP Services in the US
- 5.5.1 The Current VoIP Scenario
- Figure 5-9: A Typical VoIP Network in the Present Day Routed through a
PSTN
- 5.5.2 How can WiMAX change the VoIP Scenario?
- 5.6 Fixed WiMAX CPE
- 5.6.1 Outdoor CPE
- Figure 5-10: Outdoor CPE for Fixed WiMAX style network from Skylink
- 5.6.2 Self-Install Indoor CPE
- Figure 5-11: Average Selling Price of Outdoor vs Indoor CPE for WiMAX
- Table 5-8: Outdoor CPE vs. Indoor CPE for Fixed WiMAX
- Figure 5-12: Trade-off between Range and Capacity in Fixed WiMAX using
Indoor and Outdoor CPEs
6. Equipment Providers and Operators
- 6.1 Equipment Providers
- 6.1.1 Alvarion
- i. The Company
- ii. Products
- iii. Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.1.2 Aperto Networks
- i. The Company
- ii. WiMAX Products
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.1.3 Redline Communications
- i. The Company
- ii. WiMAX Products
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.1.4 Airspan
- i. The Company
- ii. WiMAX Products
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.1.5 Cambridge Broadband
- i. The Company
- ii. WiMAX Products
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.1.6 ZTE Corp
- i. The Company
- ii. WiMAX Products
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.1.7 Proxim Wireless Corporation
- i. The Company
- ii. WiMAX Products
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.1.8 Siemens Communications
- i. The Company
- ii. WiMAX Products
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.1.9 SR Telecom
- i. The Company
- ii. WiMAX Products
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- iv. Customers
- 6.2 Operators
- 6.2.1 Telabria
- i. Company
- ii. Operating Environment
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- 6.2.2 Towerstream
- i. Company
- ii. Operating Environment
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- 6.2.3 Altitude Telecom
- i. Company
- ii. Operating Environment
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- 6.2.4 Irish Broadband
- i. Company
- ii. Operating Environment
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- 6.2.5 WiMAX Telecom
- i. Company
- ii. Operating Environment
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- 6.2.6 Covad Communications
- i. Company
- ii. Operating Environment
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
- 6.2.7 transARIA
- i. Company
- ii. Operating Environment
- iii. WiMAX Strategy
7. Backhaul Forecasts
- 7.1Forecasting Technique
- 7.1.1Statistical Analysis
- i. Gompertz Curve
- Figure 7-1: Typical Gompertz curve
- ii. Fisher Pry Model
- Figure 7-2: Fisher Pry Modelling for Digital vs Analog Subscribers
- Key Assumptions
- 7.1.2 Methodology
- i. Backhaul
- Figure 7-3: Backhaul Forecast Model
- ii. Last Mile Broadband Wireless
- Figure 7-4: Last Mile Broadband Wireless Forecast Model
- 7.2 Backhaul Forecasts
- 7.2.1 WiMAX Backhaul - Cellular
- i. Number of Cellular Base Stations
- a. Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 7-5: Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Developed World Forecast
2006 - 2011
- Table 7-1: Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Developed World Forecast
2006 - 2011
- b. Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 7-6: Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Developing World
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 7-2: Number of Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Developing World
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- c. Global Forecasts
- Table 7-3: Number of Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Global Forecast
2006 - 2011
- Figure 7-7: Cellular Base Stations ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 -
2011
- ii. Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- a. % Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Table 7-4: % Cellular Base Stations ('000) with WiMAX Backhaul links -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 7-5: % Cellular Base Stations ('000) with WiMAX Backhaul Links -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- b. Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- - Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 7-8: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 7-6: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- - Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 7-9: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 7-7: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- - Global Forecasts
- Figure 7-10: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul
Links - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 7-8: Number of Cellular Base Stations with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- c. Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Stations
- - Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 7-11: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Stations
($m) - Developed World Forecasts 2006-2011
- Table 7-9: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station
($m) - Developed World Forecasts 2006-2011
- - Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 7-12: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station
($m) - Developing World Forecasts 2006-2011
- Table 7-10: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station
($m) - Developing World Forecasts 2006-2011
- - Global Forecasts
- Figure 7-13: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station
($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
- Table 7-11: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for Cellular Base Station
($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
- 7.2.2 WiMAX Backhaul - WiFi Hotspots
- i. Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots
- Figure 7-14: Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots - Developed World
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 7-12: Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots - Regional Forecast 2006
- 2011
- ii. WiFi Managed Hotspots with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Table 7-13: % WiFi Managed Hotspots with WiMAX Backhaul Links -
Regional Forecasts 2006 - 2011
- Figure 7-15: Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 7-14: Number of WiFi Managed Hotspots with WiMAX Backhaul Links
- Regional Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 7-16: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market for WiFi Managed Hotspots
($m) - Regional Forecast 2006-2011
- Table 7-15: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Managed Hotspots
($m) - Regional Forecast 2006-2011
- 7.2.3 WiMAX Backhaul - WiFi Mesh
- Figure 7-17: Number of WiFi Mesh Access Points - Regional Forecast
2006 - 2011
- Table 7-16: Number of WiFi Mesh Access Points - Regional Forecast
2006 - 2011
- Table 7-17: % WiFi Mesh Links with WiMAX Backhaul - Regional Forecast
2006 - 2011
- Figure 7-18: Number of WiFi Mesh WiMAX Backhaul Links - Regional
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 7-18: Number of WiFi Mesh WiMAX Backhaul Links - Regional
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 7-19: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Mesh Networks ($m)
- Regional Forecast 2006-2011
- Table 7-19: Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Mesh Networks ($m)
- Regional Forecast 2006-2011
- 7.2.4 WiMAX Backhaul - Combined Value of Market
- Figure 7-20: Combined Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Hotspots
and Mesh Networks ($m) - Regional Forecasts 2006-2011
- Table 7-20: Combined Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links for WiFi Hotspots
and Mesh Networks ($m) - Regional Forecasts 2006-2011
- Figure 7-21: Combined Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links by Category (WiFi
Hotspots and Mesh Networks) ($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
- Table 7-21: Combined Value of WiMAX Backhaul Links by Category (WiFi
Hotspots and Mesh Networks) ($m) - Global Forecasts 2006-2011
- Table 7-22: Total Value of WiMAX Backhaul Market (Cellular+ Hotspot +
Mesh) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
8. Fixed WiMAX Subscriber Forecasts
- 8.1 Internet Users - Base Data
- 8.1.1 Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 8-1: Number of Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-1: Number of Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 8.1.2 Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 8-2: Number of Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-2: Number of Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 8.1.3 Global Forecasts
- Figure 8-3: Number of Internet Users (m) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-3: Number of Internet Users (m) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 8.2 Fixed WiMAX Subscribers
- 8.2.1 Optimistic Scenario (Potential)
- i. Internet Users Converting to Fixed WiMAX
- Table 8-4: % Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) Converting to
Fixed WiMAX - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Optimistic Scenario)
- Table 8-5: % Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) Converting to
Fixed WiMAX - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Optimistic Scenario)
- ii. Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (Optimistic Scenario)
- a. Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 8-4: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic
Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-6: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic
Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- b. Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 8-5: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic
Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-7: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic
Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- c. Global Forecasts
- Figure 8-6: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic
Scenario) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-8: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Optimistic
Scenario) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- iii. Conservative Scenario (Potential)
- Table 8-9: % Internet Users ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable) Converting to
Fixed WiMAX - Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Conservative
Scenario)
- Table 8-10: % Internet Users/Households ('000) (Dial-up, DSL, Cable)
Converting to Fixed WiMAX - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
(Conservative Scenario)
- a. Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 8-7: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Conservative)
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-11: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Conservative
Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- b. Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 8-8: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Conservative
Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-12: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Conservative
Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- iv. Moderate Scenario (Potential)
- a. Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 8-9: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate
Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table: 8-13: Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate
Scenario) Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- b. Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 8-10: Total Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000)
(Moderate Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 8-14: Total Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate
Scenario) Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- c. Global Forecasts
- Table 8-15: Total Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscribers ('000) (Moderate
Scenario) Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 8.2.2 Mobile WiMAX Effect
- i. Shift Subscribers
- Figure 8-11: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario)
Shifting to Mobile WiMAX Developed World Forecast 2007 - 2011
- Table 8-16: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario)
Shifting to Mobile WiMAX Developed World Forecast 2007 - 2011
- a. Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 8-12: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario)
Shifting to Mobile WiMAX - Developing World Forecast 2007 - 2011
- Table 8-17: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario)
Shifting to Mobile WiMAX - Developing World Forecast 2007 - 2011
- Table 8-18: Total Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) (Moderate Scenario)
After Shift to Mobile WiMAX Forecast 2007 - 2011
- Figure 8-13: The Effect of the shift of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers to
Fixed WiMAX (Potential) Subscriber Numbers - Global Forecast 2006-2012
- ii. Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (Post Shift)
- a. Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 8-14: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
- Table 8-19: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers - Developed
World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
- b. Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 8-15: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
- Table 8-20: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
- c. Global Forecasts
- Figure 8-16: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers Global
Forecasts 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
- Table 8-21: Number of Fixed WiMAX (Post Shift) Subscribers Global
Forecasts 2006 - 2011 (Moderate Scenario)
9. Fixed WiMAX Equipment Forecasts
- 9.1 Fixed WiMAX Base Stations
- 9.1.1 Number of Base Stations
- i. Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 9-1: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations - Developed
World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-1: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- ii. Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 9-2: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-2: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- iii. Global Forecasts
- Figure 9-3: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-3: Installed Base of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations ('000) -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 9.1.2 Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations
- i. Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 9-4: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ($m) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-4: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ('$m) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- ii. Developing World Forecasts
- Table 9-5: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ($m) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 9-5: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ('$m) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- iii. Global Forecasts
- Figure 9-6: Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ('$m) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-6: Total Value of Fixed WiMAX Base Stations Market ($m) -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 9.2 CPE (Installed Base)
- 9.2.1 Units
- i. Developed World Indoor CPE Forecasts
- Figure 9-7: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-7: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- ii. Developing World Indoor CPE Forecasts
- Figure 9-8: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-8: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- iii. Global Indoor CPE Forecasts
- Table 9-9: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 9-9: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Indoor CPE -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- iv. Developed World Outdoor CPE Forecasts
- Figure 9-10: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Outdoor CPE -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-10: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Outdoor CPE -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- v. Developing World Outdoor CPE Forecasts
- Table 9-11: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Outdoor CPE -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 9-11: All Fixed WiMAX Subscribers ('000) with Outdoor CPE -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- vi. Comparison between Indoor and Outdoor CPE
- a. Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 9-12: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-12: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- b. Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 9-13: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-13: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- c. Global Forecasts
- Figure 9-14: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 9-14: Comparison All Fixed WiMAX Indoor v Outdoor CPE ('000) -
Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- vii. Value of CPE Equipment
- Table 9-15: Average Prices of Fixed WiMAX CPE - Developed and
Developing World ($) Forecast 2006-2011
- a. Global Forecast
- Table 9-16: Total Value of Fixed WiMAX CPE Market by Indoor & Outdoor
Installed Base ($m) Global Forecast 2006-2011
- Figure 9-15: Total Value of Fixed WiMAX CPE Market by Indoor & Outdoor
Installed Base ($m) - Global Forecast 2006-2011
- Figure 9-16: Total Value of Fixed WiMAX CPE Market by Outdoor & Indoor
Installed Base ($m) Split by Developed & Developing Region Forecast
2006-2011
- Table 9-17: Value of Fixed WiMAX Indoor CPE Market - Developed and
Developing World Forecast ($m) 2006-2011
- Table 9-18: Value of Fixed WiMAX Outdoor CPE Market - Developed and
Developing World Forecast ($m) 2006-2011
- 9.3 Total Value of Equipment Market
- Figure 9-17: Value of Fixed WiMAX Equipment (Base Station + CPE) Market
by Developed and Developing World - Global Forecast 2006-2011
- Table 9-19: Value of Fixed WiMAX Equipment (Base Station +CPE) Market
by Developed and Developing World ($m) - Global Forecast 2006-2011
10. Business/Residential Adoption Forecasts
- 10.1 Business Adoption
- 10.1.1 Developed World Forecasts
- Table 10-1: % of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Business users -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 10-1: Number of Fixed WiMAX Business Subscribers ('000) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 10-2: Number of Fixed WiMAX Business Subscribers ('000) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 10.1.2 Developing World Forecasts
- Table 10-3: % of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Business Users -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 10-2: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (000's) that are
Business Users - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 10-4: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (000's) that are
Business Users - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 10.1.3 Global Forecasts
- Figure 10-3: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (000's) that are
Business Users - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 10-5: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers (000's) that are
Business Users - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 10.2 Fixed WiMAX Residential Users
- 10.2.1 Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 10-4: Number of Fixed WiMAX Residential Subscribers ('000) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 10-6: Number of Fixed WiMAX Residential Subscribers ('000) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 10.2.2 Developing World Forecasts
- Table 10-7: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Residential
Users ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 10-5: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Residential
Users ('000) - Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 10.2.3 Global Forecasts
- Table 10-8: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Residential
Users ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 10-6: Number of Fixed WiMAX Subscribers that are Residential
Users ('000) - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 10.3 Business versus Residential Subscribers
- Figure 10-7: Fixed WiMAX Business vs Residential Subscribers ('000) -
Developed World Forecast 2006-2011
- Figure 10-8: Fixed WiMAX Business vs Residential Subscribers ('000) -
Developing World Forecast 2006-2011
- Figure 10-9 Fixed WiMAX Business vs Residential Subscribers ('000) -
Global Forecast 2006-2011
- Table 10-9: Fixed WiMAX Business vs Residential Subscribers ('000) -
Global Forecast 2006-2011
11. Voice/Data Services Forecasts
- 11.1 Fixed WiMAX Data Market
- Table 11-1: Fixed WiMAX Average Revenue per User - Global Forecast 2006
- 2011
- 11.1.1 Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 11-1: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-2: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 11.1.2 Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 11-2: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-3: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 11.1.3 Global Forecast
- Figure 11-3: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) by
Developed and Developing - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-4: Value of Fixed WiMAX Data Services Market ($m) by
Developed and Developing - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 11.2 WiMAX Fixed Wireless Voice
- 11.2.1 Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 11-4: Fixed WiMAX Voice Service Users ('000) - Developed World
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-5: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Developed World
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 11.2.2 Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 11-5: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Developing
World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-6: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Developing
World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 11.2.3 Global Forecasts
- Table 11-7: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Developing
World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Figure 11-6: Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Users ('000) - Global
Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 11.3 Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers by Data & Voice
- 11.3.1 Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 11-7: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice -
Developed World Forecast 2006-2011
- Table 11-8: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice -
Developed World Forecast 2006-2011
- 11.3.2 Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 11-8: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice -
Developing World Forecast 2006-2011
- Table 11-9: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice -
Developing World Forecast 2006-2011
- 11.3.3 Global Forecasts
- Table 11-10: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice -
Global Forecast 2006-2011
- Figure 11-9: Fixed WiMAX Voice Subscribers ('000) by Data & Voice -
Global Forecast 2006-2011
- 11.4 WiMAX Fixed Wireless Voice Revenue
- Table 11-11: Average Revenue per Fixed Wireless Voice User
- 11.4.1 Developed World Forecasts
- Figure 11-10: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-12: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) -
Developed World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 11.4.2 Developing World Forecasts
- Figure 11-11: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-13: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) -
Developing World Forecast 2006 - 2011
- 11.4.3 Global Forecasts
- Figure11-12: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) by
Developed vs Developing Regions 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-14: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) by
Developed vs Developing Regions 2006 - 2011
- 11.5 Global Fixed WiMAX Voice & Data Revenue
- Figure 11-13: Value of Fixed WiMAX Services Market ($m) Split by Voice
Services & Data Services - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
- Table 11-15: Value of Fixed WiMAX Voice Services Market ($m) Split by
Voice Services & Data Services - Global Forecast 2006 - 2011
12. WiMAX Security
- 12.1 Security Features in WiMAX
- 12.1.1 Encryption: DES3 and AES
- Figure 12-1: Block Cipher Encryption
- Figure 12-2: CBC Mode
- 12.1.2 Authentication: X.509 Certificates and EAP
- Figure 12-3: EAP used in a WLAN
- 12.2 Security Processors
- Figure 12-4: Security Processor Configuration
- 12.2.1 WiMAX Security Processor: Vendors
- i. Cavium Networks
- a. The Company
- b. Products
- c. OEM Client
- ii. Hifn
- a. The company
- b. Products
- c. OEM Client
- iii. SafeNet
- a. The company
- b. Products
- c. OEM Client
- iv. Elliptic Semiconductor
- a. The company
- b. Products
- Figure 12-5: Block Diagram of Elliptic Semiconductor LLP-01 Core
- c. OEM Client
- 12.3 Security for WiMAX Applications
- 12.3.1 Application Layer Security
- Figure 12-6: Application Layer Security Infrastructure
- Figure 12-7: Securing the perimeter in a WiMAX network
- 12.3.2 Network Layer Security
13. WiMAX: Value-Chain Analysis
- 13.1 The WiMAX Value-Chain
- Figure 13-1: WiMAX Value Chain
- 13.1.1 Silicon Vendors
- 13.1.2 Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM)/Original Device
Manufacturer (ODM)
- 13.1.3 Wholesale Service Provider/Network Operator
- 13.1.4 Retail Service Provider
- 13.2 Analysis
- 13.2.1 Silicon Vendors
- i. Intel's Focus: Fixed or Mobile WIMAX?
- ii. What are the Focus Areas for WiMAX Silicon Start-ups?
- iii. Are There Any Limitations in the First Wave of Fixed WiMAX
Certifications?
- iv. What are the Opportunity Areas within WiMAX Silicon?
- 13.2.2 OEM/ODMs
- i. How Will the Mobile WiMAX Timeline Affect Fixed WiMAX Adoption?
- ii. What Form Factors Can We Expect for WiMAX CPEs?
- iii. Is There An Immediate Need to Switch From Pre-Fixed WiMAX to
Certified Fixed WiMAX Equipment?
- iv. Is There a Mobile WiMAX Strategy For Fixed WiMAX OEMs?
- v. What is Driving OEM Vendors to Certify Their Equipment?
- vi. Are OEMs Religious About WiMAX?
- 13.2.3 Network Operator/Service Provider (NO/SP)
- i. What Are The Target Costs For The CPE?
- ii. What Advantages Does Fixed WiMAX Bring to SMEs?
- iii. Are WiMAX Operators Open To Using WiMAX For Backhaul?
- iv. What Are Operators Looking For Initially in WiMAX?
- v. How Does Software Defined Radio help a WiMAX Operaotr?
- vi. Do WiMAX Strategies Differ With Size of Operator?
- vii. What Cost Metrics Do Operators use in Evaluating WiMAX?
Appendix 1 - Web Addresses for Companies Included in Report
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