Footwear Retailing - US - November 2005

TABLE OF CONTENTS

• Introduction and Abbreviations
• Introduction
• Other relevant reports
• Definition
• Abbreviations and terms
• Abbreviations
• Terms
• Executive Summary
• A $49 billion market headed for growth
• Population increase will provide a baseline for growth
• Women drive the unit volume, men drive the dollar volume
• Impact of consolidation among manufacturers and retailers
• Value-priced retailers remain strong...
• ...while high-priced and medium to high-priced retailers thrive on selection
• Growth potential for direct retailers
• Advertising, focus shift from sports to music
• Consumer insights
• Growth projected steady in 2005-10
• Market Drivers
• Population characteristics
• Children and pre-teens play a significant role
  • Figure 1: Trends and projections for the U.S. population, by age, 2000-10
• Generational influence on footwear market
• Baby Boomers
• Gen X
• Echo Boomers
  • Figure 2: U.S. sales of sports footwear, by age, 2004
• Brands and innovation in 2004 and 2005
• Impact of consolidation among manufacturers
• Increasing awareness of health
• Women, the most influential consumers
  • Figure 3: Population of women in the U.S., by age, 2000-10
• Men's shoe sales driving dollar growth in the market
  • Figure 4: Footwear sales, by consumer category, 2004
• Population diversity
  • Figure 5: U.S. population, by race and Hispanic origin, 2000-10
  • Figure 6: Number of pairs of athletic shoes purchased by men in the previous 12 months, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2004
  • Figure 7: Number of pairs of athletic shoes purchased by women in the previous 12 months, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2004
• Back-to-school spending
• Continued dependence on imports
  • Figure 8: Import of footwear in the U.S., by dollar value, 2000-05
  • Figure 9: Imports of footwear in the U.S., by dollar value, 2000-05
• Market Size and Trends
• Market Size
  • Figure 10: Total U.S. retail sales of footwear, at current and constant prices, 2000-05
  • Figure 11: Graph: Total U.S. retail sales of footwear, at current and constant prices, 2000-05*
• Market Trends
• Fashion footwear
• Technological and style innovations
• Market Segmentation
• Overview
  • Figure 12: Retail footwear sales, by segments, 2003 and 2005
• Value-priced retailers
  • Figure 13: Sales of footwear through value-priced retailers, at current and constant prices, 2000-05
• Mass merchandisers
• Value-priced shoe chains
• Off-priced retailers
• Medium to high-priced retailers
  • Figure 14: Sales of footwear through medium to high-priced retailers, at current and constant prices, 2000-05
• National chains
• Shoe stores
• Factory outlets
• High-priced retailers
  • Figure 15: Sales of footwear through high-priced retailers, at current and constant prices, 2000-05
• High-end department stores
• Specialty retailers
• Sporting goods stores
• Direct retailing
  • Figure 16: Sales of footwear through direct retailing, at current and constant prices, 2000-05
• Advertising and Promotion
• Introduction
• Advertising shift from sportsmen to musicians
• Manufacturers' advertising
• Nike
• Reebok
• Stride Rite Corporation
• Retailers' advertising
• Finish Line
• Payless ShoeSource, Inc.
• Wal-Mart
• Retail Distribution
• Introduction
• Mass merchants and direct retailers gain ground
  • Figure 17: U.S. retail sales, by channels, 2000-05
• Increasing role of manufacturers at retail
  • Figure 18: Major manufacturers' retail presence, by number of stores in the U.S., 2003 and 2004
• Value-priced channel
  • Figure 19: Major value-priced retailers, 2005
• Mass merchandisers
  • Figure 20: Major mass merchandisers' sales, 2003 and 2005
• Wal-Mart
• Value-priced shoe chains
  • Figure 21: Major value-priced shoe chains' sales, 2003 and 2005
• Payless ShoeSource, Inc.
• Off-priced retailers
  • Figure 22: Major off-priced retailers' sales, 2003 and 2005
• The TJX companies, Inc.
• Medium to high-priced retailers
  • Figure 23: Major medium to high-priced retailers, 2005
• Sears Holdings
• J.C. Penney
• Shoe stores
  • Figure 24: Shoe stores and factory outlet stores' sales, 2003 and 2005
• Brown Shoe Company, Inc. (BSC)
  • Figure 25: Shoe stores and factory outlet numbers, FY 2003 and FY 2004
• High-priced retailers
  • Figure 26: Major high-priced retailers, 2005
• Department stores
  • Figure 27: Major high-end department stores' sales, 2003 and 2005
• Nordstrom Inc.
• Specialty footwear
  • Figure 28: Major specialty footwear retailers' sales, 2003 and 2005
• Finish Line
• Sporting goods stores
  • Figure 29: Major sporting goods retailers' sales, 2003 and 2005
• Direct retailing
  • Figure 30: Major direct retailers, 2005
• zappos.com
• The Consumer
• Introduction
• Footwear purchase
  • Figure 31: Purchase of footwear, by gender, September 2005
  • Figure 32: Purchase of footwear, by age, September 2005
  • Figure 33: Purchase of footwear, by income, September 2005
  • Figure 34: Purchase of footwear, by presence of children, September 2005
• Where footwear is purchased
  • Figure 35: Where shoes are purchased, by gender, September 2005
  • Figure 36: Where shoes are purchased, by age, September 2005
  • Figure 37: Where shoes are purchased, by income, September 2005
  • Figure 38: Where shoes are purchased, by presence of children, September 2005
• Purpose of buying footwear
  • Figure 39: Purpose of buying footwear, by gender, September 2005
  • Figure 40: Purpose of buying footwear, by age, September 2005
  • Figure 41: Purpose of buying footwear, by income, September 2005
• Type of shoes purchased by men
  • Figure 42: Type of footwear purchased by men, by age, January-September 2004
  • Figure 43: Type of footwear purchased by men, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2004
• Number of pairs of shoes purchased by men
  • Figure 44: Number of pairs of athletic shoes purchased by men, by age, January-September 2004
  • Figure 45: Number of pairs of "other" shoes purchased by men, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2004
• Type of footwear purchased by women
  • Figure 46: Type of footwear purchased by women, by age, January-September 2004
  • Figure 47: Type of footwear purchased by women, by number of people in the household, January-September 2004
• Number of pairs of shoes purchased by women
  • Figure 48: Number of pairs of athletic shoes purchased by women, by age, January-September 2004
  • Figure 49: Number of pairs of "other" shoes purchased by women, by race/ethnicity, January-September 2004
• Summary
• Future and Forecast
• Future trends
• Custom footwear may become more mainstream
• E-tailing set to make inroads
• Price hikes the way forward for dollar growth
• Concept stores may gain ground
• Increased vertical integration from retailers
• Market forecast
• Footwear
  • Figure 50: Forecast of total U.S. retail sales of footwear, at current and constant prices, 2005-10
  • Figure 51: Graph: Total U.S. retail sales of footwear 2000-05, and forecast, 2005-10
• Value-priced footwear
  • Figure 52: Forecast of U.S. sales of footwear through value-priced retailers, at current and constant prices, 2005-10
• Medium to high-priced footwear
  • Figure 53: Forecast of U.S. sales of footwear through medium to high-priced retailers, at current and constant prices, 2005-10
• High-priced footwear
  • Figure 54: Forecast of U.S. sales of footwear through high-priced retailers, at current and constant prices, 2005-10
• Direct retail footwear
  • Figure 55: Forecast of U.S. sales of footwear through direct retailing, at current and constant prices, 2005-10
• Forecast factors
• Appendix: Trade Associations
• Appendix: Research Methodology
• Consumer Research
• Greenfield Online
• Presentation & Definitions
• ICR Surveys EXCEL
• Simmons National Consumer Surveys
• Technometrica TechnoExpresssm
• Further Analysis
• Trade Research
• Informal trade research
• Formal trade research
• Desk & Internet Research
• Sources
• Definitions
• Forecasts
• Appendix: What is Mintel?
• Mintel Group
• Mintel Reports
• Mintel Premier
• Mintel GNPD
• Mintel Menu Insights
• Mintel Comperemedia
• Mintel Custom Solutions