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SUMMARY
Description
Not long ago, 3G and Wi-Fi were the only major broadband wireless technologies
implemented or planned by telecom operators and service providers around the
globe. However in the near term, the telecom world will be surrounded by a
multitude of new broadband wireless technologies such as WiMAX (802.16 2004 /
802.16e), Ultra Wide Band (UWB), ZigBee, and 4G. Some of those new broadband
wireless technologies are now crucial for service providers, enabling them to
provide high speed connections, in addition to value added services such as
VoIP, mobile TV, video on demand (VOD), video telephony and mobile gaming.
Arguably the biggest question facing the broadband wireless space is the exact
positioning of 3G and how it will cooperate or compete with other technologies
such as Wi-Fi, WiMAX and UWB. More precisely, one can wonder if the expected
emergence of HSDPA/HSUPA, EV-DV/EV-DO RevA, and TD-CDMA technologies will
enable 3G to eliminate the projected mobile WiMAX threat. Or will 4G, which is
seen by many players as a combination of wireless technologies, enable
operators and service providers to reconcile all of the new broadband wireless
technologies?
From the surface, it would appear that all technologies (3G, Wi-Fi, WiMAX,
UWB, etc.) will coexist in perfect harmony and successfully target specific,
unique market segments. In reality the situation is far less clear, as a
number of factors come into play including country and region-specific
nuances, technical specs of each technology and the supporting cast of players
pushing each standard or technology.
In this study, NSR provides extensive analysis on each broadband wireless
technology in every region of the globe, with a focus on current and future
technology trends, key players, key applications and addressable markets, and
threats/weaknesses. For each of these technologies, NSR also quantifies the
demand that telecom players or potential investors can target in each region.
Each unique technology chapter (WiMAX, Wi-Fi, 3G, 4G, UWB, Zigbee) includes a
complete analysis containing the following elements:
- State of the Technology
- Trends and Key Players
- Current and Future Trends
- Key Applications and Addressable Markets
- Threats and Weaknesses
- Regional Market Forecasts and Trends
- Subscribers/Units, by Region (2005-2010)
- Equipment Hardware, by Region (2005-2010), where applicable
- Service Revenue, by Region (2005-2010), where applicable
Regions analyzed for each technology include:
- North America
- Latin America
- Europe
- Asia-Pacific
- Middle East/Africa
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- 1. Executive Summary
- 1.1 WiMAX- 802.16
- 1.2 Wi-Fi -- 802.11
- 1.3 3G
- 1.4 4G
- 1.5 UWB
- 1.6 ZigBee
- 1.7 Bottom Line
- 2. Market Overview-Where Does Each Technology Fit?
- 2.1 WiMAX- 802.16
- 2.2 Wi-Fi- 802.11
- 2.3 3G
- 2.4 4G
- 2.5 UWB
- 2.6 ZigBee
- 3. WiMAX- 802.16
- 3.1 State of the Technology
- 3.1.1 Defining WiMAX
- 3.1.1.1 802.16a
- 3.1.1.2 FIXED WIMAX 802.16d
- 3.1.1.3 The Push to Mobility - 802.16e
- 3.1.2 The Marketing Message of pre-WiMAX
- 3.1.3 Price is Everything
- 3.1.4 Who Will Offer WiMAX Service?
- 3.1.5 WiMAX Players
- 3.2 Key Applications and Addressable Markets
- 3.2.1 Fixed Broadband Access
- 3.2.2 Backhaul
- 3.2.3 Enterprise Networking
- 3.2.4 Mobile/Nomadic/Portable IP Services
- 3.2.5 Voice Requirements
- 3.3 Threats/Weaknesses
- 3.3.1 Spectrum Issues: Licensed Versus Unlicensed
- 3.3.2 Hype-Filled WiMAX Expectations Must be Lowered
- 3.3.3 When Will a Critical Mass of Users Actually See It?
- 3.3.4 Other Issues
- 3.3.5 WiMAX, 3G, Wi-Fi: Complementary or Competition?
- 3.3.5.1 WiMAX and 3G
- 3.3.5.2 WiMAX and Wi-Fi
- 3.4 WiMAX Regional Market Forecasts and Trends
- 3.4.1 WiMAX Subscribers, by Region
- 3.4.2 WiMAX Equipment Market, by Region
- 3.4.2.1 Total Market
- 3.4.2.2 WiMAX Base Stations
- 3.4.2.3 WiMAX Customer Premise Equipment (CPE)
- 3.4.3 WiMAX Service Revenue
- 4. Wi-Fi- 802.11
- 4.1. State of the Technology
- 4.1.1 Defining Wi-Fi
- 4.1.2 Current Trends: 802.11a, b, g
- 4.1.3 Future trends
- 4.1.3.1 802.11n
- 4.1.3.2 Wi-Fi Platforms: From Laptops...to handsets and HDTVs
- 4.1.4 Wi-Fi Players
- 4.2 Key Applications and Addressable Markets
- 4.2.1 Enterprise Market
- 4.2.1.1 Wi-Fi Hotspots
- 4.2.1.2 SME Access
- 4.2.1.3 VoIP over WLAN
- 4.2.2 Consumer Market
- 4.2.2.1 Personal Broadband Access
- 4.2.2.2 Wi-Fi Gaming
- 4.2.3 Emerging Markets
- 4.2.3.1 Video over Wi-Fi
- 4.2.3.2 Wi-Fi Mesh
- 4.2.3.3 Location Tracking
- 4.2.4 Vertical Markets
- 4.2.4.1 Healthcare Market
- 4.2.4.2 Education Market
- 4.2.4.3 Manufacturing Market
- 4.2.4.4 Government Market
- 4.2.4.5 Retail Market
- 4.3 Threats/Weaknesses
- 4.3.1 Wi-Fi, 3G, UWB, WiMAX: Complementary or Competition?
- 4.4 Wi-Fi Regional Market Forecasts and Trends
- 4.4.1 Wi-Fi Users, by Region
- 4.4.2 Wi-Fi Users, by Technology (802.11a/b/g/n/mesh)
- 4.4.3 Wi-Fi Hardware Sales, by Region
- 4.4.4 Wi-Fi Service Revenue
- 5. 3G
- 5.1 State of the Technology
- 5.1.1 Defining 3G
- 5.1.2 Current Trends: 3G CDMA Modes
- 5.1.3. Future Trends
- 5.1.3.1 UMTS / HSDPA / HSUPA
- 5.1.3.2 EV-DO Rev. A
- 5.1.3.3 UMTS TDD/TD-CDMA: Complete 3G
- 5.1.4 3G Players
- 5.2 Key Applications and Addressable Markets
- 5.2.1 Consumer Market- Entertainment Applications
- 5.2.1.1 Mobile Music
- 5.2.1.2 Mobile Gaming
- 5.2.1.3 Mobile Gambling
- 5.2.1.4 Mobile TV
- 5.2.2 Consumer Market- Messaging Services
- 5.2.2.1 SMS and MMS
- 5.2.2.2 Internet Connectivity
- 5.2.2.3 Instant Messaging Services
- 5.2.2.4 Video Conferencing
- 5.2.2.5 Push-to-talk (PTT) Messaging
- 5.2.3 Consumer Market- Mobile Transactions Services
- 5.2.4 Consumer Market- Information Services
- 5.2.5 Consumer Market- Wireless Advertising
- 5.2.6 Enterprise Market
- 5.2.6.1 High-Speed Wireless Connectivity via Mobile Office Solutions
(PC Data Cards, PDA/Smartphones)
- 5.2.6.2 Messaging Services: SMS, MMS, Task Group, Calendar
- 5.2.6.3 Video Conferencing
- 5.2.7 Vertical Markets
- 5.2.8 Regional Differences and Trends
- 5.3 Threats/Weaknesses
- 5.3.1 Spectrum Issues
- 5.3.2 3G Handsets
- 5.3.4 High Cost of 3G Ownership
- 5.3.5 Other Issues
- 5.3.6 WiMAX / Wi-Fi /UWB / ZigBee / Bluetooth: Complementary or
Competition?
- 5.4 3G Regional Market Forecasts and Trends
- 5.4.1 3G Subscribers, by Region
- 5.4.2 3G Subscribers, by Technology
- 5.4.3 3G Equipment Sales, by Region
- 5.4.4 3G Service Revenue, by Region
- 6. 4G
- 6.1 State of the Technology
- 6.1.1 From Super 3G, 3.9G or UTRAN LTE to 4G
- 6.1.2 The Importance of Software Defined Radio (SDR)
- 6.1.3 Defining 4G: A Combination of Multiple Standards
- 6.1.3.1 OFDM and MIMO-OFDM
- 6.1.3.2 MC-CDMA
- 6.1.3.3 Mobile WiMAX: A Future 4G Standard?
- 6.1.4 4G Players
- 6.2 Key Applications and Addressable Markets
- 6.2.1 Video on Demand
- 6.2.2 Videoconferencing and Teleworking
- 6.2.3 Mobile TV
- 6.2.4 Mobile Gaming
- 6.2.5 eBooks
- 6.2.6 Coming Next: 5G Applications
- 6.3 Threats/Weaknesses
- 6.3.1 Capitalizing on 3G first
- 6.3.2 Spectrum Issues
- 6.3.3 More Academic Research
- 6.3.4 Defining 4G Standards
- 6.3.5 Converging on Only a Few Technologies
- 6.3.6 Other Issues
- 6.4 4G Regional Market Forecasts and Trends
- 6.4.1 4G Subscribers, by Region
- 6.4.2 4G Equipment Sales, by Region
- 6.4.3 4G Service Revenue, by Region
- 7. UWB
- 7.1 State of the Technology
- 7.1.1 Defining UWB
- 7.1.1.1 DS-UWB vs. MBOA-UWB
- 7.1.1.2 Future: UWB Coming Soon With or Without a Standard
- 7.1.2 UWB Players
- 7.2 Key Existing Applications and Addressable Markets
- 7.2.1 Construction Market
- 7.2.2 Military / Government Market
- 7.2.3 Healthcare Market
- 7.3 Key Future Applications and Addressable Markets
- 7.3.1 Consumer Electronics / Entertainment Market
- 7.3.2 Mobile Device Market
- 7.3.3 PC & Peripherals Market
- 7.3.4 Safety of Life / Auto Industry Market
- 7.3.5 Enterprise Market
- 7.4 Threats/Weaknesses
- 7.4.1 Lack of UWB Standard
- 7.4.2 Increasing the Power Limit
- 7.4.3 UWB, WiMAX, WiFi and 3G: Complementary of Competition?
- 7.4.4 802.11n, Not a Real Threat for UWB?
- 7.4.5 Consumer Confusion
- 7.4.6 Lack of Global Regulatory Framework
- 7.5 UWB Regional Market Forecasts and Trends
- 7.5.1 UWB Subscribers/Users, by Region
- 8. ZigBee
- 8.1 State of the Technology
- 8.1.1 Defining ZigBee
- 8.1.1.1 Differences between ZigBee and Bluetooth/Wi-Fi
- 8.1.1.2 Future: Single Chip Solutions and Additional Profiles
- 8.1.2 ZigBee Players
- 8.2 Key Applications and Addressable Markets
- 8.2.1 Industrial and Commercial Market
- 8.2.2 Consumer Market
- 8.2.2.1 Consumer Electronics Market
- 8.2.2.2 PC & Peripherals Market
- 8.2.2.3 Home Automation Market
- 8.2.2.4 Toys and Interactive Gaming Market
- 8.2.3 Personal Healthcare Market
- 8.3 Threats/Weaknesses/Challenges
- 8.3.1 Pricing issue
- 8.3.2 Interoperability
- 8.3.3 Lack of Profiles
- 8.3.4 Awareness
- 8.3.5 Z-Wave, X10, Not Real Threats for ZigBee?
- 8.4 ZigBee Regional Market Forecasts and Trends
- 8.4.1 ZigBee Chips Shipment Forecast, By Region
- LIST of EXHIBITS
- Exhibit 1.1 3G Subscribers, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 1.2 UWB Deployed Units, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 2.1 Matrix of Broadband Wireless Technologies
- Exhibit 2.1 Global 802.16d Subs, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 2.2 Global 802.16e Subs, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 2.3 Global 802.11 Units, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 2.4 802.11 Units, By Standard Specification (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 2.5 Global 3G Subscribers, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 2.6 3G Subscribers, by Technology (millions)
- Exhibit 2.7 4G Subscribers, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 2.8 UWB Deployed Units, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 2.9 ZigBee Annual Silicon Shipments, Units by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 3.1 WiMAX Equipment Vendors
- Exhibit 3.2 Tier 1 WiMAX Vendors/Integrators
- Exhibit 3.3 WiMAX Semiconductor Vendors
- Exhibit 3.4 WiMAX Target Markets and Applications
- Exhibit 3.5 Global 802.16d Subs, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 3.6 Global 802.16e Subs, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 3.7 Global WiMAX Subs- 802.16d and 802.16e (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 3.8 WiMAX Equipment -- Annual Sales ($)
- Exhibit 3.9 WiMAX Equipment, Cumulative Sales ($)
- Exhibit 3.10 802.16d Base Station Units, by Region
- Exhibit 3.11 802.16d Base Station Annual Sales, By Region ($)
- Exhibit 3.12 802.16d Base Station Annual Sales, By Region ($ millions)-
Chart
- Exhibit 3.13 802.16e Base Station Units, by Region
- Exhibit 3.14 802.16e Base Station Annual Sales, by Region ($)
- Exhibit 3.15 802.16e Base Station Annual Sales, By Region ($ millions)-
Chart
- Exhibit 3.16 802.16d CPE Annual Sales, by Region ($)
- Exhibit 3.17 802.16d CPE Annual Sales, By Region ($ millions)- Chart
- Exhibit 3.18 802.16e CPE Annual Sales, by Region ($)
- Exhibit 3.19 802.16e CPE Annual Sales, By Region ($ millions)- Chart
- Exhibit 3.20 Annual Service Revenue -- 802.16d
- Exhibit 3.21 Annual Service Revenue -- 802.16e
- Exhibit 3.22 Global WiMAX Service Revenue -- 802.16d + 802.16e
- Exhibit 4.1 802.11 Protocols and Characteristics
- Exhibit 4.2 Wi-Fi Infrastructure Vendors
- Exhibit 4.3 Wi-Fi Equipment Vendors
- Exhibit 4.4 Wi-Fi Semiconductor Vendors
- Exhibit 4.5 Wi-Fi Market Segments and Applications
- Exhibit 4.6 Global 802.11 Hardware Units, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 4.7 802.11 Hardware Units, By Standard Specification (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 4.8 802.11 Annual Hardware Sales, By Region ($billions)
- Exhibit 4.9 802.11 Annual Hardware Sales, By Region ($billions)- Chart
- Exhibit 4.10 802.11 Cumulative Hardware Sales, ($billions)
- Exhibit 4.11 802.11 Annual Service Revenue, by Region ($billions)
- Exhibit 5.1 Matrix of 3G CDMA Modes
- Exhibit 5.2 Matrix of 3G Players- WCDMA Operators
- Exhibit 5.3 Matrix of 3G Players- CMDA 2000 Operators
- Exhibit 5.4 Matrix of 3G Vendors
- Exhibit 5.5 3G Market Segments and Applications
- Exhibit 5.6 Mobile TV Standards
- Exhibit 5.7 3G Spectrum Licenses- China, Russia, India
- Exhibit 5.8 Global 3G Subscribers, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 5.9 3G Subscribers, by Technology (millions)
- Exhibit 5.10 3G Subscribers, by Technology (millions)
- Exhibit 5.11 3G Annual Handset Sales ($billions), By Region
- Exhibit 5.12 3G Annual Handset Sales ($billions), By Region - Chart
- Exhibit 5.13 3G Annual Service Revenue ($billions), by Region
- Exhibit 6.1 Matrix of 4G Players
- Exhibit 6.2 4G Subscribers, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 6.3 4G Annual Hardware Sales ($billions), By Region
- Exhibit 6.4 4G Annual Hardware Sales ($billions), By Region - Chart
- Exhibit 6.5 4G Annual Services Revenue ($billions), by Region
- Exhibit 7.1 Matrix of UWB Players
- Exhibit 7.2 UWB Key Applications and Addressable Markets
- Exhibit 7.3 UWB Key Vertical Markets and Applications
- Exhibit 7.4 UWB Deployed Units, by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 7.5 UWB Deployed Units, By Region -- Chart (millions)
- Exhibit 8.1 Market Segmentation- ZigBee, Bluetooth, Wi-Fi
- Exhibit 8.2 Matrix of ZigBee Players
- Exhibit 8.3 ZigBee Key Applications and Addressable Markets
- Exhibit 8.4 ZigBee Annual Silicon Shipments, Units by Region (2005-2010)
- Exhibit 8.5 ZigBee Annual Silicon Shipments, Units by Region -- Chart
(millions)
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