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SUMMARY
In its third decade of commercial terrestrial activity, the PV industry is beginning a major entry into residential and commercial grid-connectedmarkets. In the last five years, growth in grid-connected applications has averaged above 30% annually and grid-connected applications have risen totake nearly 60% of global market volume. These are just a few findings from Photovoltaic Five-Year Market Forecast 2002-2007, a newly releasedresearch report from Strategies Unlimited. Photovoltaic Five-Year Market Forecast 2002-2007 provides support in planning market strategies and sales tactics in the highly fragmentedterrestrial photovoltaic industry. Planning support is furnished by a combination of historic and forecasted market data and detailed descriptions ofthe developing photovoltaic marketplace. Information on twelve market applications segments are provided, as well.
Some of the topics in this report include: - Current Market Demand
- Historic Market Performance
- Five-Year Market Forecast
- Module Price History and Trends
- Revenue Growth
- Forecasted Shipment Volume
- Application Details
- Market Sector Analysis
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- 1. INTRODUCTION
- 1.1 Objective
- 1.2 Strategic Planning
- 1.3 Format
- 1.4 Methodology
2. EXECUTIVE OVERVIEW- 2.1 Market Categories
- 2.2 Current Market Demand
- 2.3 Historic Market Performance
- 2.4 Five-Year Market Forecast
- 2.5 Long-Term Trends to 2010
3. MARKET ENVIRONMENT AND HISTORY- 3.1 Introduction
- Market Structure
- Market Environment
- Market and Industry Overview
- 3.2 Historic Market Performance
- Application Growth
- Regional Trends
- Selling Channels
- 3.3 Module Price History and Trends
- History of Pricing
- Learning-Curve Theory
- Historic and Current Market Behavior
- Forecasts of Module Price
- Power Module Pricing
- Pricing of Large Modules in Quantity
4. FIVE-YEAR FORECAST- 4.1 Industry and Market Overview
- 4.2 Market Share and Growth Rates
- 4.3 Revenue Growth
- 4.4 Forecast Shipment Volume
- 4.5 Application Details
- 4.6 Long-Term Trends
5. MARKET SECTOR ANALYSIS- 5.1 Communications
- 5.2 Cathodic Protection
- 5.3 Transportation Signals
- 5.4 Water Pumping
- 5.5 Village Power
- 5.6 Outdoor Lighting
- 5.7 Other Applications
- 5.8 Consumer Power
- 5.9 Grid-Connected
- 5.10 Consumer Indoor
LIST OF FIGURES- 1 2002 World Region Demand for Photovoltaic Power Modules
- 2 Market Shares by Module Size
- 3 Five-Year Forecast of PV Shipments, 2001-2007
- 4 Long-Term Photovoltaic Forecast - MWp, 1995-2010
- 5 Historic Market Share - Major Application Groups, 1980-2010
- 6 Historic PV Shipments (MWp), Major Application Groups, 1980-2002
- 7 Variations in Market Growth, 1980-2002
- 8 2002 World Region Demand for Photovoltaic Power Modules
- 9 Price History and Forecast, Business as Usual Scenario
- 10 Price History and Forecast, Accelerated Scenario
- 11 Price History and Forecast, Power Module Shipments
- 12 Price History and Forecast - Power Modules vs. Large Modules in Quantity
- 13 Worldwide Module Dollar Volume - Business as Usual vs. Accelerated Growth
- 14 Forecast Growth - Remote Commercial, Grid-Connected, Consumer, 1999-2007
- 15 Long-Term Photovoltaic Forecast (MWp), 1995-2010
- 16 Long-Term Market - Business as Usual, 1980-2010
- 17 Market Shares by Module Size
LIST OF TABLES- 1 Major Photovoltaic Market Categories - Status - PV Valuation, Customer Description
- 2 Historic Shipments and Growth Rates by Major Application, 1985-2002
- 3 Five-Year Growth 2002-2007 - Comparisons by Major Applications
- 4 Photovoltaic Applications
- 5 Historic Application Details - Global Demand in MWp, 1985-2000
- 6 Trends in Market Shares - Major Regions (Point-of-Sale - Distributor/OEM/Project)
- 7 Selling Channels for Major Applications - 2002 by Volume Share
- 8 History of Module Price vs. Cumulative Shipments, 1976-2001
- 9 Power Module Price Reductions - Current vs. Constant Dollars, 1994-2001
- 10 Power Module Price Trends - Global Average vs. Large Modules in Quantity, 1990-2010
- 11 Photovoltaic Market 2001-2007 - Summary of Industry Revenues, MWp, Prices
- 12 Market Share by Major Applications - Historic and Forecasted - 1990-2007
- 13 Shipment Growth by Major Application - History and Forecast - 1985 to 2007
- 14 Worldwide Module Revenue vs. MWp Shipments - Business as Usual vs. Accelerated Growth, 1999-2007
- 15 Forecast Application Details, 1997-2007 - Business as Usual
- 16 Forecast Application Details, 1997-2007 - Accelerated Scenario
- 17 Long-Term PV Market Forecast - 1980-2010 18 Long-Term Growth Rates by Major Application, 1980-2010
- 19 Application Categories
- 20 Market Share by Application and Module Size - 1992, 1995, 1998, 2001
- 21 Communications Applications
- 22 Cathodic Protection Applications
- 23 Transportation Signals Applications
- 24 Water Pumping Applications
- 25 Village Power Applications
- 26 Outdoor Lighting Applications
- 27 Other Applications
- 28 Consumer Power Applications
- 29 Grid-Connected Applications
- 30 Consumer Indoor Applications
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