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SUMMARY
WiMAX is emerging as a technology that can compete with mobile data networks.
Operators such as Korea Telecom and SK Telecom in Korea along with Sprint and
BellSouth in the U.S. have announced plans or intentions to deploy mobile
WiMAX technologies. Mobile WiMAX gives the wireline carriers an opportunity to
enter the mobile wireless market with better performance and lower costs than
the 3G technology being deployed by mobile carriers today. We expect that many
of the current mobile carriers will also adopt mobile WiMAX technologies to
provider higher speed and to lower their costs.
This report discusses the technical and regulatory factors that are leading to
the deployment of WiMAX mobile services. It discusses the strategies of twelve
service providers offering high-speed wireless data services and twelve
systems and component companies that are addressing this market. This report
discusses how these companies expect that mobile WiMAX will affect the
high-speed wireless data market.
This report presents the business case for WiMAX in mobile networks. It
compares the business case for mobile WiMAX at 2.5GHz and 3.5GHz to HSDPA and
shows the fundamental cost advantages that mobile WiMAX enjoy over 3G
technologies. Two business cases are shown. One is for the green field
operator creating a mobile WiMAX network from scratch. The second is for the
established mobile carrier that uses WiMAX to supplement its existing mobile
services using dual mode handsets.
The report also includes a set of market forecasts for the mobile WiMAX and
the 3G markets that give a global forecast along with forecasts for Europe,
Asia, North America, and the Rest of the World. A forecast is included for
mobile WiMAX and 3G subscribers, service revenue, device shipments and value,
and Capex. A supplemental spreadsheet is included that includes the charts in
the report along with supplemental charts that provide additional perspectives
on the market.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
- 1Executive Summary
- 1.1Introduction
- 1.2Global Regulation
- 1.3Broadband Mobile Wireless Technologies
- 1.4Market Strategies
- 1.5Business Case Scenarios
- 1.6Broadband Mobile Wireless Market Forecast
- 1.7Conclusions & Recommendations
- 2Global Regulation
- 3Technology Strategies
- 3.13G and WiMAX Overview
- 3.2Wireless System Company Strategies
- 3.3Alcatel
- 3.4Alvarion
- 3.5Ericsson
- 3.6Intel
- 3.7IPWireless
- 3.8Lucent
- 3.9Motorola
- 3.10Nokia
- 3.11Nortel
- 3.12PicoChip
- 3.13Samsung
- 3.14Siemens
- 4Market Strategies
- 4.1EMEA BT
- 4.2EMEA-Orange
- 4.3EMEA-T-Mobile
- 4.4EMEA-Vodafone
- 4.5NA-BellSouth
- 4.6NA-Cingular
- 4.7NA-Sprint
- 4.8NA-Verizon
- 4.9APAC-KDDI au
- 4.10APAC-NTT DoCoMo
- 4.11APAC-Korea Telecom
- 4.12APAC-SK Telecom
- 5Business Case Scenarios
- 5.1Business Case for New Market Entrants
- 5.2Business Case for Current Mobile Carriers
- 5.3Business Case Assumptions
- 6WiMAX/3G Mobile Market Forecast
- 6.1Market Environment
- 6.2Forecast Methodology
- 6.3Global Forecast-3G
- 6.4Global Forecast-WiMAX
- 6.5Asia Pacific
- 6.6Western Europe
- 6.7North America
- 6.8Rest of World
- 7Conclusions & Recommendations
- 7.1Conclusions
- 7.2Recommendations
- 8Glossary
Table of Figures
- Figure 1 1: WiMAX Certification Waves
- Figure 1 2: Breakeven Points for Greenfield Networks
- Figure 1 3: Broadband Mobile Subscribers, 3G versus WiMAX
- Figure 1 4: WiMAX Mobile Subscribers by Region
- Figure 3 1: Spectral Efficiency of HSDPA
- Figure 3 2: WiMAX Certification
- Figure 3 3: WCDMA Roadmap
- Figure 3 4: UMTS-TDD Long Term Evolution
- Figure 3 5: Motorola MOTOwi4 Outdoor Base Site
- Figure 3 6: Converged Network Architecture
- Figure 3 7: 4G Evolution
- Figure 3 8: Wireless Applications
- Figure 3 9: UMTS Evolution
- Figure 3 10: Complementary Wireless Technologies
- Figure 4 1: Vodafone Comparison 3G and WiMAX
- Figure 4 2: Areas Served by BellSouth's Broadband Wireless Service
- Figure 4 3: BellSouth Broadband Wireless Coverage
- Figure 4 4: SK Telecom's Technology Evolution
- Figure 5 1: Breakeven Points for Pure WiMAX Networks
- Figure 5 2: Breakeven Point for 3G Supplemented by WiMAX
- Figure 6 1: 3G Broadband Mobile Subscribers, by Region
- Figure 6 2: 3G Broadband Mobile Subscribers, by Technology
- Figure 6 3: 3G Broadband Subscribers, Basic versus Enhanced
- Figure 6 4: 3G Broadband Mobile Service Revenue, by Region
- Figure 6 5: 3G Broadband Mobile Capex, by Region
- Figure 6 6: 3G Broadband Mobile Device Shipments, by Region
- Figure 6 7: 3G Broadband Mobile Device Shipments Value, by Region
- Figure 6 8: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Subscribers, by Region
- Figure 6 9: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Service Revenue, by Region
- Figure 6 10: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Capex, by Region
- Figure 6 11: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Device Shipments, by Region
- Figure 6 12: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Device Shipments Value, by Region
- Figure 6 13: 3G Broadband Mobile Subscribers in Asia, by Country
- Figure 6 14: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Subscribers in Asia, by Country
- Figure 6 15: 3G Broadband Mobile Subscribers in Asia, by Technology
- Figure 6 16: 3G Broadband Mobile Subscribers in Europe, by Country
- Figure 6 17: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Subscribers in Europe, by Country
- Figure 6 18: 3G Broadband Mobile Subscribers in Europe, by Technology
- Figure 6 19: 3G Broadband Mobile Subscribers in North America, by Country
- Figure 6 20: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Subscribers in North America, by
Country
- Figure 6 21: 3G Broadband Mobile Subscribers in North America, by
Technology
- Figure 6 22: 3G Broadband Wireless Subscribers-ROW
- Figure 6 23: WiMAX Broadband Mobile Wireless Subscribers-ROW
- Figure 6 24: 3G Broadband Mobile Wireless Technology-ROW
Table of Tables
- Table 1 1: Broadband Wireless System Strategies
- Table 1 2: Carrier Broadband Wireless Market Strategies
- Table 1 3: Cost per User for WiMAX and 3G Networks
- Table 2 1: EU Spectrum for WiMAX
- Table 3 1: Technology Comparison
- Table 3 2: WiMAX Best Case Spectral Efficiency
- Table 3 3: WiMAX Worst Case Spectral Efficiency
- Table 3 4: WiMAX Spectrum Requirements
- Table 3 5: WiMAX Peak Data Rate
- Table 3 6: Broadband Wireless System Strategies
- Table 3 7: UMTS-TDD Evolution
- Table 3 8: PicoChip Fixed Scenario Evolution
- Table 3 9: PicoChip Mobile Scenario Evolution
- Table 4 1: Carrier Broadband Wireless Market Strategies
- Table 4 2: BellSouth 3G Wireless Broadband Services
- Table 5 1: Cost per User for WiMAX and 3G Networks
- Table 5 2: Metro Area Wireless Network Assumptions
- Table 6 1; 3G Network Status
- Table 6 2: 3G Penetration by Region
- Table 6 3: WiMAX Penetration by Region
- Table 6 4: 3G Subscribers Forecast Comparison-Millions
- Table 6 5: WiMAX Subscribers Forecast Comparison-Millions
- Table 8 1: Glossary
Annex
All of the charts that are included in Section 6: WiMAX/3G Mobile Market
Forecast are also included in the spreadsheet Annex that accompanies this
report. In addition there are a number of charts that are not included in the
report but that may provide additional clarity to this market.
The Annex includes the following worksheets:
- Global Charts
- Global Tables
- Asia-Pacific Charts
- Asia-Pacific Tables
- Western-Europe Charts
- Western Europe Tables
- North America Charts
- North America Tables
- ROW Charts
- ROW Tables
- Business Case Assumptions
- Business Case Charts
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