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SUMMARY
ABSTRACT - Most people are unaware that a biological attack already has occurred in the U.S.
- In the Fall of 2001, after 9/11, four letters containing anthrax spores were mailed through the USPS to government and media locations
- The outcome was 22 confirmed cases of anthrax, 5 people dead, 23 contaminated USPS facilities, 1.8 million pieces of contaminated mail, and $14million to clean up the Hart Senate Office building
- And this was only four letters!
- The facts are clear: bioterrorism is very dangerous and a significant threat to U.S. national security
- Certainly the U.S. government thinks so, and is taking all measures necessary to protect both its citizens and armed forces from this danger
- This report is meant to serve two purposes: provide an overview of bioterrorism defense markets, and assess opportunities and security threats
Scope of Coverage - Specifically, the report looks at the following:
- An overview of the bioterrorism products and services markets in terms of size and growth rates between 2003 and 2008
- A look at bioterrorism' s history, who poses a threat, why the threat is growing, bioterrorism agents, agents of the highest concern,governement agencies involved, types of response, and FAQs for a biological attack
- An analysis of the Department of Homeland Security, the U.S. government agency leading the charge against bioterrorism
- What the Department of Health and Human Services is doing in the fight on bioterrorism
- Who are first responders and what role do they play in fighting bioterrorism
- What is the best strategy for biodefense
- What are the latest products and projects in biodetection technology, and how big is the market by application for biodetection technology
- How big is the market by product type for civilian and military bioterrorism respirators
- How big is the market by product type for civilian and military bioterrorism protective clothing
- What role do vaccines and antibodies play in the war on bioterrorism, and how big is the market for smallpox and anthrax vaccines and antibodiesnow and in the future.
Market Size Demand for bioterrorism defense products and services is estimated at $4.8 billion in 2003 - 75% of the current bioterrorism market is accounted for by the activities of the Department of Health and Human Services
- And 5.6% by the Department of Homeland Security and other government agencies
- While the remaining 19% is vaccines, biodetection equipment, protective clothing, and respirators
- Demand for bioterrorism equipment and services is forecast to grow 16% annually, reaching $10 billion in 2008
- Vaccines will be the fastest growing market segment in this period, rising 54% annually, from $286 million in 2003 to $2.5 billion in 2008
- The second fastest growing market segment will be biodetection equipment, where sales will grow from $345 million in 2003 to $1.9 billion in2008, equal to a 41% average annual growth rate
- As a result of their high growth rates, vaccines and biodetection equipment will become the largest market segments behind the Department of HHSby 2008.
Producers - The largest private sector producer of bioterrorism defense products is thought to be Acambis, the supplier of smallpox vaccine to the U.S.Government
- Number two is Tex-Shield, the supplier of JSLIST suits to the U.S. military
- And third, ILC Dover, the producer of M-40 gas masks to the military
- By 2004, company shares are expected to increase
- For example, Northrop Grumman will book $175 million on its USPO contract, and Human Genome Sciences probably will sell $300 million worth ofanthrax vaccine to the government.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
INTRODUCTION - Background and scope of the report
- Methodology and sources
- Statistical notes
A. MARKET OVERVIEW - Market segments
- Department of Health and Human Services
- Biodetection equipment
- Vaccines
- Department of Homeland Security
- Protective clothing
- Respirators
- Total market size and growth by market segment: 2003-2008
- Leading producers by market segment
- Factors affecting demand: Department of Homeland Security, Department of Health and Human Services, First Responders, biodefense, retailers, retail fraud
B. BIOTERRORISM OVERVIEW- Definitions
- Terrorism
- Bioterrorism
- Threat to homeland security
- History of biological warfare
- Biological warfare agreements
- Countries and organizations with biological warfare programs
- The growing threat
- Potential bioterrorism agents
- Bacterial agents
- Viruses
- Biological toxins
- Biological agents of highest concern
- Advantages of biologics as weapons
- Bioterrorism and food supply
- Bioterrorism threats, immediate actions, symptoms, treatments: small pox, anthrax, plague, etc.
- Federal agencies involved in bioterrorism
- Bioterrorism agent transmission
- Who are first responders
- Medical response to bioterrorism
- Vaccines for bioterrorism
- Public health response to bioterrorism
- Laboratory response network for bioterrorism
- What to do in a bioterrorism attack
- 15 frequently asked questions for a biological attack
C. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY OVERVIEW- Background
- Creation
- Mission
- Departments
- Border and Transportation Security
- Emergency Preparedness and Response
- Science and Technology
- Information Analysis and Infrastructure Protection
- Management
- United States Coast Guard
- United States Secret Service
- Bureau of Citizenship and Immigration Services
- Office of State and Local Government Coordination
- Office of Private Sector Liaison
- Office of Inspector General
- DHS budget by department and funding activity: 2002-2004
- DHS and Department of Health and Human Services joint bioterrorism activities
- Project Bioshield
- DHS' S&T bioterrrorism activities
- NBAC program
- Homeland security advisory system: what it means
D. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES OVERVIEW- Budget overview
- 2002-2003 budget by funding activity: CDCP, NIH, etc.
E. FIRST RESPONDERS OVERVIEW- Definition
- Number of police officers, county sheriffs, firefighters, and EMS personnel by state: 2002
- U.S. public safety departments by type (e.g. state correction, Federal law enforcement): 2002
- Number of fire department and EMS specialization by type (e.g. hazmat): 2002
- U.S. first responder physicians' specialization by type: 2003
- Council on Foreign Relations Report: 2003
- First responders' unmet budget needs by type: 2004-2008
F. BIODEFENSE- Bioterrrorism vs. conventional warfare
- Efficacy of protective clothing and respirators in the general population
- Civilian vs. military preparations
- U.S. government national security view
- Correct countermeasures approach
- Next generation of bioweapons
- New national security strategies towards biowarfare
- Faster development of drugs and vaccines
- Funding requirements
- Secret government project for training Special Forces to detect and disarm mobile biological agent factories
- How the designer became the suspect in the 2001 anthrax kills
G. BIODETECTION- Basis for detection
- Stand-off vs. point detectors
- Types of biological detection: microbiology, PCR, lateral flow immunoassay
- Features and issues of biological detection by type
- Command and control systems
- Technology trends
- Government and civilian markets for detectors
- "Bio-Watch" system
- CDCP monitoring system
- Department of Defense detection systems:
- Value of U.S. military demand for biodetectors used in bioterrorism applications: 2003-2008
- Value of U.S. civilian demand for biodetectors used in bioterrorism applications: 2003-2008
- Average selling price for military and civilian biodetectors used in bioterrorism applications: 2003-2008
- Leading producers of military and commercial biodetectors used in bioterrorism applications
- Technology trends
H. RESPIRATORS- NIOSH approval
- Do N-95 respirators work for bioterrorism
- Department of Defense M-40 and MCU/2-p gas masks
- Mask type respirator limitations
- Powered air purifying respirators (PAPR: pluses and minuses)
- Value and volume of U.S. demand for respirators used in bioterrorism applications: 2003-2008
- Value and volume of U.S. demand for military respirators: 2003-2008
- Value and volume of U.S. demand for commercial mask and cartridge respirators: 2003-2008
- Value and volume of U.S. demand for commercial PAPR respirators: 2003-2008
- Average selling price for military, commercial mask and cartridge, and PAPR respirators: 2003-2008
- Leading producers of military, commercial mask and cartridge, and PAPR respirators: 2003 sales and market shares
I. PROTECTIVE CLOTHING- IPE (individual protective equipment) ensembles
- Components
- Material requirements
- JSLIST (Joint Service Lightweight Integrated Suit Technology)
- Value and volume of U.S. demand for protective clothing used in bioterrorism applications: 2003-2008
- Value and volume of U.S. demand for military protective clothing: 2003-2008
- Value and volume of U.S. demand for commercial protective clothing: 2003-2008
- Average selling price for military and commercial protective clothing: 2003-2008
- Leading producers of military and commercial protective clothing: 2003 sales and market shares
J. VACCINES AND ANTIBODIES- Vaccines vs. antibodies
- Current players: Acambis, Human Genome Sciences, Berna Biotech, Medarex
- Acambis sales of smallpox vaccine to U.S. government: value and volume, 2000-2007
- U.S. government smallpox vaccine stockpile limit
- Maintenance smallpox vaccine purchases by U.S. government
- Global herd immunity to smallpox
- Effectiveness of Abthrax for anthrax
- Market potential for Abthrax
- Estimated sales potential for Abthrax
LIST OF TABLES- TABLE 1-U.S. BIOTERRORISM DEFENSE MARKET ($ MILLION): 2003-2008
- TABLE 2-BIOTERRORISM DEFENSE COMPANY SALES ($MILLIONS): 2003
- TABLE3-BIOLOGICAL ATTACKS: THREATS, IMMEDIATE ACTION, SYMPTOMS, TREATMENT IF EXPOSED
- TABLE 4-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY BY FUNDING ACCOUNT: 2002-2004
- TABLE 5-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR BORDER AND TRANSPORTATION SECURITY BY FUNDING ACCOUNT: 2002-2004
- TABLE 6-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR THE COAST GUARD BY FUNDING ACCOUNT: 2002-2004
- TABLE 7-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR EMERGENCY PREPAREDNESS AND RESPONSE BY FUNDING ACCOUNT: 2002-2004
- TABLE 8-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR INFORMATION ANLYSIS AND INFRASTRUCTURE PROTECTION): 2002-2004
- TABLE 9-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR SCIENCE & TECHNOLOGY: 2002-2004
- TABLE 10-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR CITIZEN & IMMIGRATION SERVICES BY 2002-2004
- TABLE 11-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR THE SECRET SERVICE BY 2002-2004
- TABLE12-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR THE OFFICE OF INSPECTOR GENERAL: 2002-2004
- TABLE 13-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HOMELAND SECURITY BUDGET AUTHORITY FOR DEPARTMENT WIDE SUPPORT: 2002-2004
- TABLE 14-U.S. DEPARTMENT OF HEALTH AND HUMAN SERVICES BIOTERRORISM FUNDING: 2002-2004
- TABLE 15-COUNCIL ON FOREIGN RELATIONS FIRST RESPONDER UNMET BUDGET NEEDS ESTIMATE: 2004-2008
- TABLE 16-U.S. PUBLIC SAFETY DEPARTMENTS BY TYPE: 2002
- TABLE 17-POLLICE OFFICERS, SHERRIFS, FIRE FIGHTERS & EMS BY STATE: 2002
- TABLE 18-FIRE DEPARTMENT & EMS SPECIALIZATION BY TYPE: 2002
- TABLE 19-U.S. FIRST RESPONDER PHYSICIANS' SPECIALIZATION BY TYPE: 2003
- TABLE 20-METHODS OF BIODETECTION
- TABLE 21-U.S. BIODETECTOR MARKET BY APPLICATION: 2003-2008
- TABLE 22-U.S. MARKET FOR RESPIRATORS USED IN BIOTERRORISM APPLICATIONS BY TYPE: 2003-2008
- TABLE 23-U.S. SUPPLIERS OF RESPIRATORS USED IN BIOTERRORISM APPLICATIONS-SALES & MARKET SHARES: 2003
- TABLE 24-U.S. MARKET FOR PROTECTIVE CLOTHING USED IN BIOTERRORISM APPLICATIONS BY TYPE: 2003-2008
- TABLE 25-U.S. SUPPLIERS OF PROTECTIVE CLOTHING USED IN BIOTERRORISM APPLICATIONS-SALES & MARKET SHARES: 2003
- TABLE 26-TOTAL BIOTERRORISM VACCINE MARKET: 2003-2008
- TABLE 27-ACAMBIS SMALLPOX VACCINE SALES VALUE, VOLUME, ASP: 2003-2008
- TABLE 28-ANTHRAX ANTIBODY AND VACCINE SALES VALUE, VOLUME, ASP: 2003-2008
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